Samford
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#213) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1025 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1011 (#306) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.1 (#213) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.990 (#122) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.991 (#69) | AdjNet +40.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.992 (#69) | AdjNet +40.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.918 (#65) | AdjO 80.6 | AdjD 54.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.535 (#281) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.700 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.683 (#191) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#143) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Heidger | - | 1 | 18.0 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 100.0 | 80.0 | - | 103.3 | 107.1 |
| Emily Bowman | - | 1 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 57.6 | 53.8 |
| Lexie Pritchard | - | 1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Alyssa Tarpley | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.08 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kennedy Langham | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.21 | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Kiersten Nelson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alonya Waldon | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Masyn Marchbanks | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Aubrey Blankenship | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Sadie Stetson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Rylie Stephens | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Jada Knight | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -50 | -8.3 | -7.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG