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Samford

Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

60.0
PPG
46.0
Opp
+14.0
Margin
42.3%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
55.0%
FT%
37.0
RPG
15.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
50.8
Adj PPG
55.6
Adj Opp PPG
#219
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1003 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 937 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 991 (#175) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -5.4 (#225) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -4.9 (#215) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.380 (#200) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.7 More โ†’ 0.269 (#228) AdjNet -8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.8 More โ†’ 0.265 (#227) AdjNet -8.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 50.8 | AdjD 55.6 More โ†’ 0.394 (#219) AdjO 50.8 | AdjD 55.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 55.6 More โ†’ 0.445 (#204) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 55.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.383 (#212) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.393 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 28 More โ†’ 935 (#215) RD 153 | GP 28

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 @ Florida State Seminoles L 42 - 77
2012-11-19 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 48 - 45
2012-11-27 vs Auburn Montgomery Senators W 62 - 24
2012-12-01 vs Wofford Terriers W 52 - 46
2012-12-03 vs Furman Paladins W 65 - 33
2012-12-06 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 56 - 65
2012-12-18 @ Oregon Ducks L 61 - 72
2012-12-22 @ Clemson Tigers L 51 - 63
2012-12-29 @ Auburn Tigers L 51 - 80
2013-01-05 @ Elon Phoenix L 41 - 65
2013-01-07 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 60 - 46
2013-01-12 vs Charleston Cougars W 56 - 47
2013-01-14 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 56 - 41
2013-01-18 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 47 - 38
2013-01-20 @ Davidson Wildcats L 51 - 63
2013-01-23 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 60 - 66
2013-01-28 vs App State Mountaineers W 66 - 64
2013-02-02 @ Wofford Terriers W 59 - 45
2013-02-04 @ Furman Paladins L 55 - 59
2013-02-06 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 46 - 60
2013-02-09 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 51 - 52
2013-02-11 vs Elon Phoenix W 65 - 59
2013-02-16 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 51 - 52
2013-02-18 @ Charleston Cougars L 62 - 63
2013-02-23 vs Davidson Wildcats L 38 - 58
2013-02-25 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 47 - 41
2013-03-04 @ App State Mountaineers W 63 - 60
2013-03-08 vs Wofford Terriers W 59 - 55
2013-03-09 @ Elon Phoenix L 60 - 70

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Schwantz K. Schwantz NA 1 0.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 10.0 -58 27 -2.1 -2.7 45.5 80.0 50.0 -2.69 62.7 63.6
J. Martin J. Martin NA 1 0.0 14.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 9.0 -3 26 -0.1 -0.1 36.4 25.0 83.3 3.72 51.3 40.9
H. Dawson H. Dawson NA 1 0.0 13.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 16.0 -23 27 -0.9 -1.2 60.0 0.0 50.0 0.85 59.7 60.0
T. Reece T. Reece F 1 0.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 -15 27 -0.6 -0.8 20.0 0.0 100.0 -1.23 27.6 20.0
K. Stricklin K. Stricklin G 1 0.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 -54 26 -2.1 -3.1 33.3 0 50.0 -2.38 38.7 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG