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Samford

Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History

2020 Team Stats (2 games)

73.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
+4.0
Margin
40.5%
FG%
17.3%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
43.5
RPG
16.0
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.9
Adj PPG
81.3
Adj Opp PPG
#326
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 731 (#314) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 791 (#319) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 834 (#331) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -11.9 (#324) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -14.2 (#336) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.147 (#340) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.151 (#313) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#313) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 81.3 More โ†’ 0.262 (#326) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 81.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 82.8 More โ†’ 0.246 (#344) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 82.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.208 (#325) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.205 (#328) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 30 More โ†’ 787 (#310) RD 95 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 @ Morehead State Eagles L 86 - 90
2019-11-07 vs Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers W 68 - 42
2019-11-11 @ Belmont Bruins L 63 - 95
2019-11-13 vs UVA Wise Cavaliers W 102 - 64
2019-11-16 @ North Alabama Lions L 55 - 61
2019-11-19 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 70 - 57
2019-11-23 vs Troy Trojans W 72 - 60
2019-11-27 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 77 - 86
2019-11-30 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 57 - 78
2019-12-03 vs Auburn Montgomery Senators W 97 - 64
2019-12-07 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 113 - 90
2019-12-15 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 73 - 94
2019-12-18 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 87 - 105
2019-12-21 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 71 - 99
2020-01-01 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 69 - 68
2020-01-04 @ VMI Keydets W 78 - 75
2020-01-08 vs Wofford Terriers L 62 - 67
2020-01-11 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 67 - 105
2020-01-15 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 63 - 88
2020-01-18 vs Mercer Bears L 75 - 90
2020-01-22 @ Furman Paladins L 78 - 101
2020-01-25 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 63 - 70
2020-01-29 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 84 - 92
2020-02-01 @ Wofford Terriers L 56 - 80
2020-02-05 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 70 - 78
2020-02-09 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 67 - 95
2020-02-12 vs Furman Paladins L 71 - 86
2020-02-15 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 74 - 62
2020-02-19 @ Mercer Bears L 66 - 106
2020-02-22 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 74 - 80
2020-02-26 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 78 - 109
2020-02-29 vs VMI Keydets W 84 - 78
2020-03-06 vs VMI Keydets L 78 - 96

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Wilson D. Wilson F 1 35.0 30.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 41.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Ryan M. Ryan - 2 32.5 24.0 5.5 5.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 33.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Stansberry E. Stansberry G 1 34.0 23.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 19.0 14.0 - - - - 36.8 31.2 80.0 - 54.2 50.0
D. Dimitrijevic D. Dimitrijevic G 2 33.0 23.0 5.5 7.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 37.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Gary J. Gary G 2 34.0 22.5 3.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 29.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Vila R. Vila F 2 29.5 21.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 29.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Freidel Noah Freidel - 1 35.0 20.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 27.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Mounce C. Mounce F 2 27.5 18.0 4.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 24.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Josh Sharkey Josh Sharkey G 29 34.0 17.8 3.6 7.2 2.8 0.0 5.8 2.7 22.9 -221 28 -7.9 -9.5 34.6 12.5 69.4 -1.02 274.9 36.5
E. Stair E. Stair G 2 30.0 17.5 7.5 2.0 3.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 28.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Lyons J. Lyons G 2 28.5 17.5 2.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Gurley N. Gurley - 2 21.0 15.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Justin Webster Justin Webster - 1 25.0 15.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 7.0 - - - - 38.5 36.4 33.3 - 52.4 53.8
I. Miller I. Miller - 2 26.5 14.5 7.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 23.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Robert Allen Robert Allen - 32 33.1 14.1 7.0 1.4 1.1 1.3 2.6 2.7 19.7 -159 30 -5.3 -6.6 47.1 22.2 80.8 0.91 229.6 49.4
D. Jean-Baptiste D. Jean-Baptiste G 2 32.5 14.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 26.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Carper D. Carper - 1 19.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 - - - - 85.7 0 50.0 - 79.9 85.7
Brandon Austin Brandon Austin G 31 32.4 12.9 3.9 0.5 1.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 14.2 -153 30 -5.1 -6.7 45.9 39.0 78.9 0.3 214.2 55.3
S. Kenic S. Kenic F 2 14.5 12.5 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 15.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Hunter A. Hunter G 2 30.0 11.5 2.5 7.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 20.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Dupree Jalen Dupree F 32 24.5 11.2 7.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.7 17.2 -168 31 -5.4 -9.2 44.4 25.0 56.2 -2.04 293.3 45.4
D. Buggs D. Buggs G 1 24.0 11.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 21.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 137.5 137.5
K. Galloway K. Galloway F 2 23.5 11.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 16.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Johnson Jr. R. Johnson Jr. F 2 22.0 10.0 4.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 17.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Allegri A. Allegri - 2 11.0 9.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 11.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Dickey J. Dickey F 2 23.0 8.5 11.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 21.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Hueitt Jr. M. Hueitt Jr. - 2 13.5 8.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Commander M. Commander G 1 20.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Z. Raimo Z. Raimo F 1 31.0 7.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 20.0 - - - - 60.0 0 50.0 - 59.5 60.0
Deandre Thomas Deandre Thomas G 25 28.3 7.0 3.0 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.3 2.0 8.9 -117 24 -4.9 -7.1 41.2 26.1 75.0 -2.09 156.4 47.1
Trey Buchanan Trey Buchanan G 1 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Key B. Key G 1 29.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Logan Dye Logan Dye - 28 14.5 6.0 3.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 8.4 -95 27 -3.5 -10.5 60.0 0.0 100.0 -3.05 264.5 60.0
Donte Tatum Donte Tatum G 30 19.3 4.9 2.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 1.1 6.8 -188 29 -6.5 -14.0 36.4 11.1 16.7 -3.2 204.8 37.9
M. Bender M. Bender F 2 19.0 4.0 6.5 2.0 0.5 3.5 2.0 0.0 14.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Clark T. Clark G 2 24.5 4.0 6.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 13.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Scott J. Scott G 2 18.0 4.0 2.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 9.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Love D. Love G 2 21.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Massey M. Massey G 2 26.0 3.5 1.5 5.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 8.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trey Doomes Trey Doomes G 2 5.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Scheierman B. Scheierman - 1 18.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J.P. Robinson J.P. Robinson G 29 12.2 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 0.8 3.2 -65 29 -2.2 -7.9 41.7 16.7 75.0 -1.06 136.3 43.8
Logan Padgett Logan Padgett F 32 17.0 2.3 3.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 5.0 -78 30 -2.6 -6.0 31.8 33.3 0 1.28 168.2 43.2
J. Brown J. Brown - 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Ng K. Ng G 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jack Dorough Jack Dorough G 3 1.3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.6 300.0 150.0
M. Prendergast M. Prendergast G 2 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryan Smith Bryan Smith F 5 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.2 -3 5 -0.6 -8.3 20.0 0.0 0 -1.34 60.0 20.0
D. Wingett D. Wingett F 1 16.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Beeker B. Beeker F 2 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Tostado A. Tostado G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Colina M. Colina C 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Pugh J. Pugh G 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Swanson R. Swanson G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Urey P. Urey F 2 3.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Thompson K. Thompson F 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Tankelewicz R. Tankelewicz G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Kenney C. Kenney - 2 9.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Smith A. Smith G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Obidiebube P. Obidiebube - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kwon Bush Kwon Bush G 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.6 0.0 0.0
D'Marcus Purcell D'Marcus Purcell G 3 2.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.06 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG