Samford
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1068 (#122) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1068 (#117) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1091 (#56) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.1 (#113) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.6 (#114) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.823 (#24) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.681 (#104) | AdjNet +6.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.685 (#104) | AdjNet +6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.606 (#97) | AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.622 (#61) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.647 (#93) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.650 (#88) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1066 (#119) | RD 120 | GP 30 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | N | St. John's (NY) | W | 68 - 60 |
| 1999-11-20 | N | Dayton | L | 63 - 65 |
| 1999-11-23 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 60 - 67 |
| 1999-11-27 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 91 - 63 |
| 1999-12-02 | @ | Alabama | W | 79 - 67 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Jacksonville | L | 71 - 73 |
| 1999-12-06 | vs | Campbell | W | 71 - 39 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Belmont | W | 81 - 65 |
| 1999-12-22 | N | Idaho State | W | 86 - 67 |
| 1999-12-30 | @ | Wyoming | L | 73 - 80 |
| 2000-01-04 | @ | Stetson | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | UCF | W | 75 - 67 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Troy | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Mercer | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Jacksonville State | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2000-01-25 | vs | Georgia State | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Jacksonville State | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Campbell | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Georgia State | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Stetson | W | 92 - 57 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Jacksonville | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2000-02-17 | @ | Florida Atlantic | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | UCF | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Mercer | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Troy | W | 70 - 49 |
| 2000-03-02 | N | Campbell | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2000-03-03 | N | Georgia State | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2000-03-04 | N | UCF | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2000-03-16 | N | Syracuse | L | 65 - 79 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.