Samford
Model Outputs
1996-1997
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 913 (#192) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 977 (#167) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1046 (#99) | HCA +127 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.2 (#245) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.5 (#244) | HCA +3.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.567 (#120) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.173 (#249) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.170 (#248) | AdjNet -13.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.334 (#240) | AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.434 (#199) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.348 (#218) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.368 (#211) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 954 (#178) | RD 154 | GP 26 |
1997 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-11-29 | N | North Texas | W | 78 - 71 |
| 1996-11-30 | @ | Southeast Missouri State | W | 63 - 57 |
| 1996-12-02 | @ | Louisiana State | W | 53 - 50 |
| 1996-12-07 | vs | Drake | W | 67 - 65 |
| 1996-12-14 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 46 - 58 |
| 1996-12-21 | @ | Eastern Kentucky | W | 77 - 72 |
| 1996-12-27 | N | Portland | L | 55 - 62 |
| 1996-12-28 | N | Texas Southern | L | 77 - 80 |
| 1997-01-02 | @ | Stetson | W | 46 - 45 |
| 1997-01-04 | @ | UCF | W | 68 - 65 |
| 1997-01-09 | @ | Campbell | L | 41 - 60 |
| 1997-01-11 | vs | College of Charleston | L | 59 - 79 |
| 1997-01-16 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | L | 76 - 77 |
| 1997-01-18 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 83 - 56 |
| 1997-01-23 | @ | Georgia State | L | 55 - 58 |
| 1997-01-25 | @ | Mercer | W | 75 - 72 |
| 1997-01-30 | @ | Jacksonville State | W | 98 - 77 |
| 1997-02-01 | vs | Florida International | W | 83 - 81 |
| 1997-02-03 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 72 - 64 |
| 1997-02-07 | vs | Jacksonville State | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1997-02-13 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 71 - 74 |
| 1997-02-15 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 54 - 53 |
| 1997-02-20 | vs | Mercer | W | 96 - 76 |
| 1997-02-22 | vs | Georgia State | W | 86 - 74 |
| 1997-02-27 | N | Stetson | W | 60 - 51 |
| 1997-02-28 | N | Florida International | L | 67 - 90 |
1997 Roster
No roster data available for this season.