Samford
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 755 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 827 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#211) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.8 (#249) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.4 (#249) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.236 (#247) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.152 (#257) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.149 (#257) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.301 (#256) | AdjO 53.8 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.357 (#245) | AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.269 (#247) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 834 (#239) | RD 147 | GP 28 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-22 | @ | Tulane | L | 48 - 75 |
| 1991-11-26 | @ | Alabama State | L | 65 - 75 |
| 1991-11-30 | vs | Air Force | W | 51 - 44 |
| 1991-12-02 | @ | Xavier | L | 59 - 75 |
| 1991-12-07 | @ | Evansville | L | 50 - 74 |
| 1991-12-30 | @ | Mississippi State | L | 48 - 72 |
| 1992-01-06 | @ | Wake Forest | L | 45 - 74 |
| 1992-01-09 | vs | Georgia Southern | L | 65 - 83 |
| 1992-01-11 | vs | Mercer | W | 73 - 55 |
| 1992-01-16 | @ | Stetson | L | 70 - 71 |
| 1992-01-18 | @ | Florida International | L | 54 - 70 |
| 1992-01-23 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W | 56 - 53 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Georgia State | L | 69 - 74 |
| 1992-01-28 | vs | Davidson | L | 59 - 61 |
| 1992-01-30 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 62 - 57 |
| 1992-02-02 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 77 - 67 |
| 1992-02-06 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 62 - 73 |
| 1992-02-08 | @ | Mercer | W | 56 - 54 |
| 1992-02-10 | vs | Rice | L | 43 - 53 |
| 1992-02-13 | vs | Stetson | W | 75 - 59 |
| 1992-02-15 | vs | Florida International | W | 60 - 56 |
| 1992-02-17 | @ | Furman | L | 42 - 55 |
| 1992-02-19 | @ | The Citadel | L | 67 - 73 |
| 1992-02-22 | vs | Georgia State | L | 52 - 72 |
| 1992-02-27 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 58 - 71 |
| 1992-02-29 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 78 - 71 |
| 1992-03-06 | N | Stetson | W | 58 - 44 |
| 1992-03-07 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 61 - 81 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.