Samford
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 636 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 717 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 846 (#277) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.7 (#287) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -20.0 (#287) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.120 (#280) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.054 (#287) | AdjNet -24.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.053 (#287) | AdjNet -25.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.163 (#285) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 81.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.225 (#284) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 79.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.126 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.135 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 729 (#274) | RD 143 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-23 | N | Lamar | L | 60 - 116 |
| 1990-11-24 | N | Alabama State | L | 67 - 77 |
| 1990-11-26 | @ | Clemson | L | 56 - 96 |
| 1990-11-29 | @ | Air Force | L | 68 - 85 |
| 1990-12-01 | @ | Rice | L | 51 - 78 |
| 1990-12-08 | vs | Alabama State | L | 95 - 96 |
| 1990-12-15 | @ | Florida International | L | 82 - 85 |
| 1990-12-20 | vs | UCF | W | 89 - 80 |
| 1990-12-22 | @ | Evansville | L | 49 - 76 |
| 1990-12-28 | @ | Toledo | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1990-12-29 | N | Middle Tennessee | L | 50 - 62 |
| 1991-01-07 | vs | Liberty | W | 62 - 61 |
| 1991-01-10 | vs | Mercer | W | 72 - 67 |
| 1991-01-12 | vs | Georgia State | L | 75 - 85 |
| 1991-01-14 | @ | Little Rock | L | 53 - 68 |
| 1991-01-17 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 88 - 101 |
| 1991-01-19 | @ | UTSA | L | 63 - 106 |
| 1991-01-21 | vs | Florida International | W | 71 - 59 |
| 1991-01-31 | vs | Stetson | L | 70 - 80 |
| 1991-02-02 | vs | Georgia Southern | W | 75 - 72 |
| 1991-02-07 | @ | Mercer | L | 55 - 61 |
| 1991-02-09 | @ | Georgia State | L | 59 - 77 |
| 1991-02-14 | vs | Centenary (LA) | L | 75 - 84 |
| 1991-02-16 | vs | UTSA | L | 85 - 99 |
| 1991-02-21 | vs | Little Rock | L | 80 - 96 |
| 1991-02-28 | @ | Stetson | L | 59 - 81 |
| 1991-03-02 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 66 - 83 |
| 1991-03-05 | N | Centenary (LA) | L | 82 - 93 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.