Sam Houston
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1086 (#105) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1133 (#67) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1116 (#33) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#179) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.8 (#204) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.706 (#59) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.501 (#163) | AdjNet +0.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.495 (#164) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.511 (#159) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.534 (#123) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.573 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#118) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1134 (#72) | RD 116 | GP 28 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Texas Christian | L | 81 - 91 |
| 2002-11-29 | N | Saint Mary's | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2002-11-30 | vs | Idaho State | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2002-12-18 | @ | Arkansas | L | 67 - 78 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Lamar | W | 61 - 47 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | McNeese | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 84 - 45 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Texas State | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | UTSA | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2003-01-16 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2003-01-23 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2003-01-30 | @ | Lamar | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | TAMUCC | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2003-02-06 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2003-02-13 | vs | Texas State | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | UTSA | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2003-02-17 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 56 - 52 |
| 2003-02-22 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2003-02-27 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Northwestern State | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | McNeese | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2003-03-12 | vs | McNeese | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2003-03-14 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2003-03-21 | N | Florida | L | 55 - 85 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.