🐻⬇️🏀

Sam Houston Bearkats

Also known as: Sam Houston Bearkats
Program History

Model Outputs

1994-1995
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 651 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 745 (#285) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 873 (#279) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More → -13.9 (#279) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -16.4 (#290) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.203 (#268) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.8 More → 0.114 (#273) AdjNet -17.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.8 More → 0.113 (#273) AdjNet -17.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.240 (#276) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 74.0 More → 0.280 (#286) AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 74.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.184 (#280) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.191 (#280) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 24 More → 753 (#280) RD 162 | GP 24

1995 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1994-11-28 vs Oral Roberts W 77 - 73
1994-12-01 @ Rice L 50 - 64
1994-12-03 @ Mississippi L 75 - 91
1994-12-05 vs Lamar L 62 - 67
1994-12-15 @ UTEP L 74 - 76
1994-12-19 @ Texas Christian L 94 - 111
1994-12-30 vs Nicholls State L 72 - 82
1995-01-07 @ Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 80
1995-01-12 @ UTSA W 80 - 75
1995-01-14 @ Texas State L 49 - 61
1995-01-19 vs Louisiana–Monroe L 72 - 89
1995-01-21 vs Northwestern State L 55 - 57
1995-01-23 @ McNeese W 85 - 79
1995-01-26 @ UT Arlington L 68 - 74
1995-01-28 @ North Texas L 62 - 86
1995-02-04 vs Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 66
1995-02-07 @ Nicholls State L 66 - 87
1995-02-09 vs Texas State L 52 - 55
1995-02-11 vs UTSA L 61 - 75
1995-02-18 @ Louisiana–Monroe L 83 - 108
1995-02-20 @ Northwestern State W 70 - 67
1995-02-23 vs North Texas W 65 - 61
1995-02-25 vs UT Arlington L 70 - 73
1995-03-01 vs McNeese L 66 - 83

1995 Roster

No roster data available for this season.