Sam Houston Bearkats
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 703 (#274) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 785 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 916 (#244) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.3 (#274) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.6 (#274) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.185 (#269) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.100 (#279) | AdjNet -19.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.098 (#279) | AdjNet -19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.248 (#275) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 74.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.331 (#263) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.210 (#275) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.224 (#273) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 788 (#264) | RD 154 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-26 | @ | Oral Roberts | L | 66 - 78 |
| 1993-12-01 | vs | Rice | L | 64 - 83 |
| 1993-12-03 | @ | Colorado | L | 51 - 75 |
| 1993-12-04 | N | Yale | L | 50 - 63 |
| 1993-12-15 | @ | Louisiana | L | 66 - 100 |
| 1993-12-17 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 58 - 73 |
| 1993-12-20 | @ | South Florida | L | 54 - 70 |
| 1993-12-30 | @ | North Texas | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1994-01-06 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 71 - 81 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 88 - 81 |
| 1994-01-11 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 88 - 79 |
| 1994-01-14 | @ | Texas State | L | 67 - 74 |
| 1994-01-16 | @ | UTSA | L | 67 - 72 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 68 - 61 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 75 - 74 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | McNeese | W | 75 - 64 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 64 - 93 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 65 - 82 |
| 1994-02-07 | vs | North Texas | L | 41 - 79 |
| 1994-02-10 | vs | UTSA | W | 97 - 88 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Texas State | L | 49 - 62 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 56 - 64 |
| 1994-02-24 | @ | McNeese | L | 66 - 74 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Nicholls State | L | 67 - 79 |
| 1994-02-28 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 83 - 72 |
| 1994-03-04 | N | Texas State | L | 56 - 65 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.