Salve Regina
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1012 (#225) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 992 (#333) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 956 (#555) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.3 (#268) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.0 (#441) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.403 (#491) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.183 (#456) | NetEff -10.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.412 (#405) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.398 (#408) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.437 (#412) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 69.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.420 (#511) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#471) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#475) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 963 (#366) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Suffolk | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Hamilton | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 61 - 57 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 49 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | St. Lawrence | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Amherst | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Occidental | W | 78 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | L | 46 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Emerson | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Springfield | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Smith | L | 44 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Coast Guard | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | MIT | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | WPI | W | 61 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Neary | - | 17 | 30.6 | 20.5 | 13.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 18.0 | 16.5 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 38.2 | 18.2 | 76.2 | 1.02 | 46.9 | 38.6 |
| HJERPE, Sophie | - | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 50.5 | 45.5 |
| LAUENSTEIN, Hannah | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| NEARY, Sofia | - | 1 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 32.4 | 33.3 |
| Emma Cochrane | - | 17 | 21.3 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 4.2 | -100 | -5.0 | -33.6 | 37.0 | 12.5 | 63.0 | -1.75 | 46.5 | 38.5 |
| Marissa Forino | - | 17 | 31.9 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 1.6 | -63 | -3.1 | -13.7 | 24.1 | 23.5 | 72.7 | 0.38 | 34.1 | 27.1 |
| FORINO, Marissa | - | 1 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -8.0 | - | - | - | 15.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 21.6 | 15.4 |
| COCHRANE, Emma | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Frankie Spadorcia | - | 16 | 17.7 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 6.1 | -60 | -3.2 | -26.0 | 43.8 | 0 | 69.6 | -1.76 | 47.4 | 43.8 |
| Hannah Lauenstein | - | 17 | 28.9 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 2.9 | -49 | -2.5 | -11.2 | 18.0 | 23.4 | 73.5 | 2.46 | 30.1 | 23.8 |
| Sophie Hjerpe | - | 16 | 19.7 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.1 | 2.9 | -25 | -1.3 | -8.2 | 42.7 | 18.8 | 50.0 | -1.13 | 44.6 | 44.5 |
| Deanna Linscott | - | 17 | 23.6 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 4.9 | -63 | -3.1 | -17.9 | 43.6 | 26.1 | 18.2 | -1.28 | 45.9 | 47.4 |
| Liz McGuirl | - | 13 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.5 | -69 | -4.3 | -35.3 | 32.4 | 22.2 | 58.3 | 1.24 | 42.6 | 35.3 |
| Natalia Brown | - | 5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 9 | 1.5 | 229.8 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.71 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Gabby Lloyd | - | 1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| LINSCOTT, Deanna | - | 1 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| MCGUIRL, Liz | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Savannah Emery | - | 9 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 | -40 | -3.6 | -29.5 | 21.7 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.01 | 30.2 | 21.7 |
| Colleen Ohrtman | - | 14 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | -13 | -0.8 | -12.6 | 20.6 | 13.3 | 50.0 | 0.79 | 24.4 | 23.5 |
| Grace Blessing | - | 2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Devin LeBrun | - | 13 | 7.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | -25 | -1.8 | -78.0 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 30.4 | 27.8 |
| Maeve Tullson | - | 8 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -0.4 | -1 | -0.1 | -6.9 | 11.1 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.76 | 14.5 | 11.1 |
| Sabrina Lawless | - | 4 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| LEBRUN, Devin | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| SPADORCIA, Frankie | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG