Salem (NC)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 692 (#534) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 721 (#523) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 773 (#685) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -27.1 (#297) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -18.4 (#582) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.109 (#530) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.026 (#598) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.108 (#584) | AdjNet -18.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.035 (#648) | AdjNet -28.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.107 (#587) | AdjNet -17.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.032 (#651) | AdjNet -28.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.236 (#598) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 84.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.157 (#645) | AdjO 54.5 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.146 (#682) | AdjO 47.0 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.074 (#670) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.079 (#675) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 636 (#519) | RD 115 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 57 - 82 |
| 2015-11-15 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-18 | @ | Seton Hill | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Findlay | L | 48 - 85 |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-01 | @ | Fairmont St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-03 | vs | Fayetteville St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Detroit Mercy | L | 50 - 81 |
| 2015-12-08 | @ | Southern Ind. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-12 | vs | Bluefield St. | W | 62 - 53 |
| 2015-12-14 | @ | Youngstown St. | L | 40 - 80 |
| 2015-12-16 | vs | West Liberty | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-04 | vs | Ohio Valley | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | Ursuline | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Cedarville | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-12 | @ | Davis & Elkins | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-21 | vs | Alderson Broaddus | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2016-01-28 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-02 | @ | Alderson Broaddus | L | 88 - 101 |
| 2016-02-04 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Ohio Valley | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2016-02-11 | @ | Cedarville | L | 49 - 78 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Ursuline | L | 59 - 102 |
| 2016-02-16 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Bluefield St. | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2016-02-25 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2016-02-27 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 66 - 88 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.