Saint Vincent Bearcats
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#449) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1116 (#70) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.2 (#149) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#403) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.709 (#344) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.419 (#388) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.411 (#391) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.449 (#393) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.568 (#266) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#365) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.559 (#352) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1154 (#99) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Carlow | W | 95 - 57 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Fayette | W | 103 - 73 |
| 2023-11-15 | vs | Chatham | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2023-11-18 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 78 - 64 |
| 2023-11-21 | @ | Thiel | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2023-12-04 | vs | Penn St.-Fayette | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2023-12-06 | vs | Grove City | W | 88 - 60 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Geneva | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2023-12-16 | @ | Bethany (WV) | W | 82 - 79 |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 46 - 95 |
| 2023-12-20 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 94 - 92 |
| 2023-12-21 | vs | Simpson | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Allegheny | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Chatham | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Franciscan | W | 84 - 74 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Thiel | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Westminster (PA) | L | 80 - 90 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Waynesburg | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Grove City | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Geneva | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2024-02-07 | vs | Bethany (WV) | W | 102 - 96 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Allegheny | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Franciscan | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2024-02-22 | vs | Chatham | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Geneva | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2024-03-02 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 64 - 81 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy DiRienzo | - | 1 | 29.0 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 20.0 | -9 | -2.2 | -2.8 | 65.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.61 | 69.6 | 69.6 |
| Jaden Gales | - | 28 | 32.1 | 17.5 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 44.9 | 26.9 | 66.9 | 0.66 | 52.0 | 47.2 |
| Dev Ostrowski | - | 27 | 30.7 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 13.8 | 11.9 | 23 | 2.1 | 11.8 | 44.5 | 44.8 | 79.8 | 1.6 | 56.2 | 52.0 |
| Matthew McDonough | - | 1 | 31.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 39 | 3.5 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.07 | 60.7 | 60.7 |
| Osyon Jones | - | 28 | 26.9 | 14.6 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 10.1 | 15 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 56.2 | 0 | 67.9 | 0.99 | 59.0 | 56.2 |
| Mike Iuzzolino | - | 28 | 28.9 | 12.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 7.9 | -36 | -3.3 | -18.3 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 80.9 | 0.95 | 59.2 | 53.9 |
| Michael Sopko | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -10 | -2.5 | -6.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.54 | 102.5 | 112.5 |
| Tayler McNeal | - | 27 | 30.4 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 20 | 6.7 | 10.0 | 48.7 | 31.6 | 67.7 | 1.18 | 56.1 | 50.6 |
| Matt Niland | - | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -6 | -1.5 | -2.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.68 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Corey Harden | - | 28 | 16.3 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 23 | 7.7 | 16.9 | 42.7 | 0.0 | 58.6 | 0.98 | 45.4 | 42.7 |
| Jaden Bailey | - | 27 | 13.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 42.6 | 15.8 | 36.0 | 0.53 | 44.3 | 44.9 |
| Dillon Hod | - | 21 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 12 | 4.0 | 18.3 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 59.1 | 0.17 | 57.3 | 52.5 |
| RJ Marsh | - | 1 | 31.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 12 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Lucas-Johnson | - | 28 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | -6 | -6.0 | -11.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.03 | 53.4 | 55.6 |
| Jovany Philistin | - | 28 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -2 | -1.0 | -3.8 | 38.9 | 25.0 | 83.3 | -0.01 | 50.9 | 44.4 |
| Kison Coates-Edmondson | - | 27 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 85.6 | 85.7 |
| Chris Peccon | - | 26 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -12 | -6.0 | -89.2 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.68 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Lucas Measel | - | 27 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Logan Karvoski | - | 27 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 27.6 | 20.0 |
| Diego Martinez | - | 26 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -5 | -5.0 | -104.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.25 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Nick Peccon | - | 26 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -5 | -1.0 | -11.1 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Jake DeMotte | - | 27 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 17.8 | 12.5 |
| Julien Vonovier | - | 28 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -4 | -4.0 | -14.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Randy Wilkerson | - | 25 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -19 | -9.5 | -786.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.92 | 10.7 | 0.0 |
| Matias Bugallo | - | 20 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Merz | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Enelson Jules | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Logvin | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Solomon Patray | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Straub | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Arguel Drotleff | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie Breindel | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 4.0 | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Owen Flisnik | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Jenisch | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 1.1 | 41.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG