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Saint Vincent Bearcats

Also known as: Saint Vincent Bearcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 958 (#449) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1016 (#363) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1116 (#70) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -2.2 (#149) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.6 (#403) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.709 (#344) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.8 More → 0.419 (#388) AdjNet -2.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.411 (#391) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 79.4 More → 0.449 (#393) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 79.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 74.7 More → 0.568 (#266) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 74.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#365) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.559 (#352) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1154 (#99) RD 98 | GP 21

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-08 vs Carlow W 95 - 57
2023-11-11 vs Penn St.-Fayette W 103 - 73
2023-11-15 vs Chatham W 84 - 79
2023-11-18 vs Westminster (PA) W 78 - 64
2023-11-21 @ Thiel W 90 - 70
2023-12-02 @ Waynesburg W 74 - 71
2023-12-04 vs Penn St.-Fayette W 88 - 75
2023-12-06 vs Grove City W 88 - 60
2023-12-09 vs Geneva W 72 - 70
2023-12-16 @ Bethany (WV) W 82 - 79
2023-12-17 @ Robert Morris L 46 - 95
2023-12-20 @ Benedictine (IL) W 94 - 92
2023-12-21 vs Simpson W 79 - 78
2024-01-03 vs Allegheny W 86 - 74
2024-01-06 @ Wash. & Jeff. W 73 - 70
2024-01-10 @ Chatham W 83 - 66
2024-01-13 vs Franciscan W 84 - 74
2024-01-17 vs Thiel W 86 - 74
2024-01-20 @ Westminster (PA) L 80 - 90
2024-01-27 vs Waynesburg L 57 - 63
2024-01-31 @ Grove City W 79 - 64
2024-02-03 @ Geneva L 69 - 73
2024-02-07 vs Bethany (WV) W 102 - 96
2024-02-10 vs Wash. & Jeff. W 87 - 84
2024-02-14 @ Allegheny W 79 - 74
2024-02-17 @ Franciscan W 83 - 70
2024-02-22 vs Chatham W 88 - 83
2024-02-24 @ Geneva L 63 - 83
2024-03-02 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 64 - 81

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tommy DiRienzo - 1 29.0 32.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 23.0 20.0 -9 -2.2 -2.8 65.2 50.0 0 0.61 69.6 69.6
Jaden Gales - 28 32.1 17.5 7.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.8 14.0 12.0 2 1.0 1.5 44.9 26.9 66.9 0.66 52.0 47.2
Dev Ostrowski - 27 30.7 17.4 5.5 1.8 2.0 0.2 1.3 13.8 11.9 23 2.1 11.8 44.5 44.8 79.8 1.6 56.2 52.0
Matthew McDonough - 1 31.0 17.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 11.0 39 3.5 11.8 50.0 50.0 0 1.07 60.7 60.7
Osyon Jones - 28 26.9 14.6 4.6 1.4 1.2 0.4 1.4 10.7 10.1 15 5.0 6.6 56.2 0 67.9 0.99 59.0 56.2
Mike Iuzzolino - 28 28.9 12.6 2.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 1.5 9.1 7.9 -36 -3.3 -18.3 41.0 41.0 80.9 0.95 59.2 53.9
Michael Sopko - 1 16.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.0 -10 -2.5 -6.1 100.0 100.0 50.0 0.54 102.5 112.5
Tayler McNeal - 27 30.4 8.3 3.9 2.9 1.2 0.7 1.8 5.9 9.3 20 6.7 10.0 48.7 31.6 67.7 1.18 56.1 50.6
Matt Niland - 1 30.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 -6 -1.5 -2.5 33.3 0.0 0 0.68 33.3 33.3
Corey Harden - 28 16.3 3.8 3.7 0.8 0.8 0.2 1.2 3.7 4.4 23 7.7 16.9 42.7 0.0 58.6 0.98 45.4 42.7
Jaden Bailey - 27 13.3 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.4 2.5 2.9 -1 -0.1 -1.0 42.6 15.8 36.0 0.53 44.3 44.9
Dillon Hod - 21 3.4 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 12 4.0 18.3 50.0 20.0 59.1 0.17 57.3 52.5
RJ Marsh - 1 31.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 12 3.0 4.3 0.0 0 50.0 1.24 26.6 0.0
Jordan Lucas-Johnson - 28 2.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 -6 -6.0 -11.0 55.6 0 37.5 -0.03 53.4 55.6
Jovany Philistin - 28 4.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.6 -2 -1.0 -3.8 38.9 25.0 83.3 -0.01 50.9 44.4
Kison Coates-Edmondson - 27 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 - - - 85.7 0 75.0 - 85.6 85.7
Chris Peccon - 26 2.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 -12 -6.0 -89.2 33.3 33.3 0 -0.68 40.0 40.0
Lucas Measel - 27 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Logan Karvoski - 27 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0
Diego Martinez - 26 2.8 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8 -5 -5.0 -104.3 66.7 0 50.0 -1.25 63.0 66.7
Nick Peccon - 26 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 -5 -1.0 -11.1 20.0 50.0 50.0 -0.12 34.0 30.0
Jake DeMotte - 27 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 - - - 12.5 0.0 100.0 - 17.8 12.5
Julien Vonovier - 28 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 -4 -4.0 -14.9 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.35 30.7 25.0
Randy Wilkerson - 25 1.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 -19 -9.5 -786.2 0.0 0.0 66.7 -0.92 10.7 0.0
Matias Bugallo - 20 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Merz - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Enelson Jules - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaiah Logvin - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Solomon Patray - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Adam Straub - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Arguel Drotleff - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Charlie Breindel - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 4.0 14.9 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
Owen Flisnik - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -1 -0.5 -2.0 0.0 0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Jake Jenisch - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 1.1 41.0 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG