Saint Vincent Bearcats
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#449) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#363) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1116 (#70) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.2 (#149) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.6 (#403) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.709 (#344) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.419 (#388) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.411 (#391) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.449 (#393) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 79.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.568 (#266) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#365) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.559 (#352) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1154 (#99) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-06 | vs | Geneva | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2021-02-10 | @ | Chatham | L | 71 - 92 |
| 2021-02-13 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2021-02-17 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2021-02-20 | @ | Thiel | L | 56 - 69 |
| 2021-02-22 | vs | Grove City | L | 61 - 83 |
| 2021-02-24 | @ | Franciscan | L | 93 - 95 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Bethany (WV) | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2021-03-06 | @ | Westminster (PA) | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2021-03-13 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2021-03-16 | @ | Geneva | L | 62 - 94 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.