Saint Michael's
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1060 (#120) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1175 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1031 (#279) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1076 (#127) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.3 (#85) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.0 (#368) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#47) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.799 (#311) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#28) | NetEff +81.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.751 (#294) | AdjNet +9.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.710 (#310) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.771 (#283) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.712 (#310) | AdjNet +7.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.761 (#197) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.599 (#301) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 57.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#232) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 56.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.599 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.606 (#293) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1073 (#221) | RD 70 | GP 55 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | @ | John Carroll | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2016-11-19 | @ | Wm. Paterson | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2016-11-20 | @ | DeSales | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2016-11-26 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 69 - 71 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Chatham | W | 76 - 49 |
| 2016-12-03 | vs | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2016-12-07 | @ | Juniata | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Waynesburg | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2016-12-19 | vs | La Roche | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2016-12-21 | vs | Baldwin Wallace | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2017-01-03 | vs | Geneva | W | 85 - 46 |
| 2017-01-05 | vs | Bethany (WV) | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Grove City | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Thiel | W | 75 - 40 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Westminster (PA) | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Thomas More | L | 60 - 92 |
| 2017-01-21 | @ | Chatham | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2017-01-25 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Geneva | W | 70 - 51 |
| 2017-02-01 | vs | Waynesburg | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Grove City | W | 51 - 48 |
| 2017-02-08 | @ | Bethany (WV) | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Thiel | W | 79 - 39 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Thomas More | L | 40 - 77 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Westminster (PA) | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2017-02-22 | vs | Chatham | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2017-02-24 | @ | Wash. & Jeff. | W | 74 - 68 |
| 2017-02-25 | @ | Thomas More | L | 53 - 66 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.