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Saint Michael's

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Saint Michael's
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#120) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1175 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1031 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1076 (#127) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +11.3 (#85) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.0 (#368) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#47) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.799 (#311) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +81.1 More → 1.000 (#28) NetEff +81.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.6 More → 0.751 (#294) AdjNet +9.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.710 (#310) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.7 More → 0.771 (#283) AdjNet +9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.712 (#310) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 64.7 More → 0.761 (#197) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 64.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 57.9 More → 0.599 (#301) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 57.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.603 (#232) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.599 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.606 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 71 | GP 53 More → 1072 (#222) RD 71 | GP 53

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Minn.-Morris W 91 - 57
2025-11-07 vs Nazareth L 54 - 60
2025-11-08 vs Bethany Lutheran W 51 - 50
2025-11-08 @ Marywood W 69 - 48
2025-11-11 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 67 - 47
2025-11-12 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 60 - 61
2025-11-14 @ Westfield St. L 78 - 81
2025-11-15 @ DeSales L 55 - 65
2025-11-15 @ Bowdoin L 25 - 66
2025-11-15 vs Dubuque W 75 - 42
2025-11-16 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 86 - 57
2025-11-18 vs Russell Sage L 56 - 67
2025-11-18 vs Carnegie Mellon L 53 - 55
2025-11-18 vs Mount Aloysius W 69 - 53
2025-11-19 @ St. Olaf W 59 - 53
2025-11-21 @ Penn St.-Behrend W 75 - 58
2025-11-21 @ Williams L 38 - 62
2025-11-22 @ Mount Union L 61 - 77
2025-11-22 vs Keene St. L 50 - 63
2025-11-25 vs Lehman W 83 - 31
2025-11-25 @ WestConn L 44 - 70
2025-11-28 @ Colorado Col. W 51 - 48
2025-11-29 @ Whitman L 57 - 66
2025-12-01 @ Bethany (WV) W 62 - 57
2025-12-03 vs John Jay L 55 - 69
2025-12-06 vs Concordia-M'head L 64 - 77
2025-12-08 vs Anna Maria W 71 - 54
2025-12-10 vs Gustavus Adolphus W 67 - 45
2025-12-14 vs VTSU-Johnson W 101 - 40
2025-12-15 @ John Carroll L 51 - 62
2025-12-30 @ Baruch L 51 - 66
2026-01-03 vs Wellesley W 55 - 52
2026-01-03 @ Augsburg W 78 - 70
2026-01-06 vs Salve Regina L 65 - 71
2026-01-07 @ Macalester W 72 - 57
2026-01-08 vs East Tex. Baptist L 53 - 83
2026-01-10 vs Hamline L 60 - 65
2026-01-10 @ Westminster (PA) W 73 - 39
2026-01-10 @ Elms W 62 - 53
2026-01-12 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 42 - 74
2026-01-14 vs Lasell W 58 - 50
2026-01-14 vs Chatham W 56 - 51
2026-01-14 vs St. Catherine W 60 - 50
2026-01-17 vs Regis (MA) L 49 - 51
2026-01-17 vs Allegheny W 66 - 45
2026-01-17 @ Carleton W 70 - 57
2026-01-20 @ Mitchell W 65 - 61
2026-01-21 @ Wash. & Jeff. W 72 - 59
2026-01-24 vs Grove City W 61 - 48
2026-01-28 vs Bethany (WV) L 57 - 64
2026-01-31 @ Geneva W 82 - 58
2026-02-04 vs Waynesburg L 68 - 77
2026-02-07 @ Thiel W 88 - 42

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sonia Sato - 1 34.7 22.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 15.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 80.0 - 64.0 60.0
Jasmine Becotte - 1 21.2 19.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 18.0 - - - 63.6 40.0 75.0 - 74.5 72.7
Sequoia Turcotte Briggs - 17 34.9 15.5 3.0 1.1 1.6 0.6 2.8 16.3 2.7 -131 -6.2 -39.0 30.7 27.9 73.0 0.31 42.5 37.7
Eszter Turi - 1 17.9 15.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 16.0 - - - 85.7 0 75.0 - 85.6 85.7
Molly Brophy - 1 26.7 15.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 11.0 - - - 54.5 50.0 0 - 68.2 68.2
Ruby Santos - 1 15.1 15.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 100.0 - 79.4 77.8
Nikola Zdenkova - 1 20.9 14.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 57.1 0 - 70.0 70.0
Drew Buslee - 15 28.6 13.4 4.7 2.3 3.1 0.1 2.6 10.9 10.1 146 7.0 36.0 33.7 30.4 74.1 3.21 50.1 42.3
Margaret Montplaisir - 1 17.0 13.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 19.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 0 - 72.2 72.2
Megan Morgan - 15 29.9 12.3 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.5 1.9 10.8 8.6 54 4.2 35.8 37.7 28.0 85.4 0.82 50.2 44.1
Aleah James - 1 37.6 12.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 5.0 -5 -0.3 -3.1 38.5 0.0 50.0 1.69 40.7 38.5
Lauren Arnold - 13 27.1 11.6 2.5 1.8 2.0 0.5 1.8 10.4 6.1 57 3.0 11.0 38.5 30.3 92.5 0.58 49.5 42.2
Makenna Maier - 18 24.8 11.6 5.7 1.1 1.4 0.3 2.0 8.4 9.7 86 4.3 18.2 44.7 39.1 88.1 0.74 61.3 56.6
Jayla Tyler - 1 15.7 11.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 33.3 - 66.1 71.4
Kira Young - 15 31.3 10.4 5.7 0.9 1.5 0.5 1.3 9.9 7.8 78 3.7 16.1 36.9 8.7 72.1 0.54 44.4 37.6
Nevaeh Yorke - 16 32.3 10.0 9.4 4.4 3.2 0.1 3.8 9.6 13.8 -56 -2.8 -24.3 34.6 0.0 51.9 2.95 40.2 34.6
Kelli Cieplicki - 1 18.2 10.0 14.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 16.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ella Kulas - 14 30.1 9.1 5.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 3.0 8.9 4.4 -132 -7.3 -49.4 43.2 0 55.9 0.94 45.4 43.2
De'Naya Rippey - 1 26.6 9.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 17.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 20.0 - 34.1 36.4
Layla Laws - 1 16.6 9.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Camdon Bashor - 18 21.9 8.9 4.7 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.3 6.6 9.4 85 4.2 19.3 50.0 25.0 73.2 2.69 56.1 50.4
Jada Mills - 1 16.1 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 82.0 75.0
Jineen Ayyash - 1 14.2 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Olivia Yancy - 18 21.8 7.6 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.5 7.7 2.9 151 7.5 36.9 32.4 32.6 77.3 3.85 46.1 43.2
Danielle Pontius - 18 29.0 7.3 1.7 3.4 1.1 0.1 2.8 7.6 3.1 83 4.2 17.1 32.1 26.8 73.7 1.15 42.6 37.6
Carys Roy - 1 16.9 7.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 14.3 0 83.3 - 36.3 14.3
Bella Franchi - 1 21.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 42.9 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ava MacDonough - 1 18.5 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Emerson Peffer - 18 17.7 6.9 5.2 1.2 1.4 0.2 2.0 5.5 7.4 41 2.0 15.0 52.5 0.0 71.4 -0.24 55.7 52.5
Brooke Evans - 18 26.7 6.7 4.7 2.9 2.3 0.7 1.6 6.0 9.7 95 4.8 20.0 42.6 21.4 73.5 1.73 48.8 44.0
Trinity Cruz - 17 27.8 6.4 2.7 1.6 1.2 0.1 3.6 7.4 0.9 -98 -4.7 -57.8 31.7 31.7 69.2 -1.97 41.0 39.3
Maddy Evans - 3 22.6 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.3 6.7 -0.3 -48 -6.9 -18.0 30.0 40.0 100.0 -3.45 41.4 35.0
Bati Assefa - 1 30.3 6.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Emma Theisen - 15 25.7 5.7 6.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.5 6.0 7.0 72 3.8 18.3 33.3 20.0 72.7 0.99 41.1 34.4
Avina Norman - 18 11.6 5.7 2.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 1.0 4.6 3.3 56 2.9 27.1 54.2 0 56.5 2.48 55.3 54.2
Kiatyanna Denmark - 12 20.0 5.2 3.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 3.2 4.4 2.9 -48 -3.0 -21.0 47.2 0 50.0 -1.87 48.9 47.2
Shelby Ricks - 1 16.7 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 18 1.2 4.6 22.2 50.0 0 2.22 27.8 27.8
Reese Gadsby - 16 21.1 4.8 3.0 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.7 6.8 1.0 -29 -1.6 -9.8 24.1 5.0 82.1 -1.36 31.6 24.5
Megan Driste - 15 19.5 4.7 2.5 1.1 1.3 0.0 0.7 4.5 4.5 119 6.3 36.7 35.3 29.4 57.1 3.19 47.9 46.3
Alyssa Sadlovsky - 15 17.3 4.1 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.7 3.9 1.8 7 0.3 1.5 39.7 28.6 54.5 -0.04 49.3 48.3
Gjamory'a McTier - 17 20.7 4.0 4.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.9 4.8 -107 -5.1 -107.5 34.8 0 51.2 -0.86 40.0 34.8
Makyiah Ward - 1 37.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 4.0 30 1.4 7.9 28.6 0.0 0 -1.84 28.6 28.6
Jayshlynn Vega - 1 15.9 4.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0.0 - 36.8 40.0
Carmella McDole - 18 13.3 3.2 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 2.8 3.3 75 3.8 31.5 45.1 25.9 100.0 2.47 54.0 52.0
Reagan Heafey-De Angelis - 14 12.5 3.1 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 3.3 1.0 -44 -2.6 -43.9 39.1 42.9 50.0 -0.41 46.1 45.7
Daichelle San Nicolas - 5 8.8 3.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.0 -17 -2.4 -214.7 45.5 0.0 50.0 0.21 48.7 45.5
Laila Grant - 1 16.2 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 33.8 25.0
Louella Allana - 1 22.6 3.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Sierra Patricio - 1 8.4 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Janay Rissmiller - 7 8.2 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.4 2.1 17 1.9 18.0 35.3 80.0 60.0 0.82 49.5 47.1
Emily Crandall - 15 11.6 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.5 2.6 39 2.3 32.6 26.3 28.6 92.9 1.09 44.2 34.2
Madeline Greene - 17 24.0 2.4 4.0 0.9 0.5 1.4 1.1 3.1 4.9 -21 -1.0 -8.1 30.2 0 56.2 -1.1 34.1 30.2
Annika Schafer - 7 4.7 2.3 0.9 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.4 -16 -1.3 -13.8 50.0 60.0 50.0 1.6 62.1 62.5
Avary White - 2 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 5 2.5 58.5 0.0 0 100.0 -0.41 53.2 0.0
Sajol Thornhill - 1 16.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Giselle Eke - 1 15.4 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 20.0 0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Amber Furch - 1 15.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0 - 14.3 14.3
Julie Lyden - 1 12.4 2.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Kate Ebert - 5 6.5 1.8 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.6 2.2 0.6 -18 -2.6 -74.1 36.4 0.0 50.0 -2.42 37.9 36.4
Emily Gates - 2 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 5 2.5 58.5 33.3 0.0 33.3 -0.41 34.7 33.3
Tiara Curry - 2 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 1 1.0 9.6 33.3 100.0 0 0.16 50.0 50.0
Samantha Straub - 10 6.5 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.1 1.5 1.5 -10 -0.9 -10.2 33.3 25.0 50.0 -0.2 41.8 40.0
Kate Bollinger - 10 5.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.9 0.9 47 4.7 124.5 21.1 0.0 75.0 -0.56 31.1 21.1
Alexis Jablonecki - 7 15.7 1.4 2.4 1.0 1.1 0.0 2.6 3.0 0.4 - - - 14.3 0.0 40.0 - 19.7 14.3
Cadence Smith - 6 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.2 6 1.0 14.6 28.6 33.3 50.0 -0.08 41.5 35.7
Cora Beeler - 5 4.5 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 21 3.5 66.7 40.0 0.0 50.0 -0.15 44.4 40.0
Bre Jones - 6 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.7 22 1.1 81.7 50.0 0 0.0 -0.05 46.6 50.0
Nora Schmidt - 2 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.5 2 2.0 50.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.2 33.3 33.3
Natalie Gates - 3 4.5 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.0 -1 -0.5 -8.0 16.7 0.0 50.0 -0.61 21.8 16.7
Lily Ryan - 8 5.7 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.5 15 1.7 46.6 25.0 33.3 0 1.15 37.5 37.5
Ariana Maurer - 3 5.1 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.7 -2 -0.4 -4.8 0.0 0 100.0 -0.55 53.2 0.0
Cailtyn Cooley - 3 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 1 0.2 4.8 50.0 0 0 0.38 50.0 50.0
Rachel Tallion - 2 3.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -3 -1.0 -43.1 0 0 50.0 -0.23 56.8 0
Emily Glass - 5 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 -4 -0.7 -19.6 33.3 0.0 0 0.08 33.3 33.3
Loucie Jean - 8 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1 0.1 12.8 0.0 0 0 0.12 0.0 0.0
Chloe Zombek - 5 3.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 -3 -0.6 -9.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.19 0.0 0.0
Cassandra Hawthorne - 1 3.4 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Zaiha Minnis - 1 8.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Madison Hertzler - 1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reilly Sunday - 1 7.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ashlee Talbot - 1 18.9 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 -29 -3.6 -119.8 0.0 0.0 0 -1.35 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG