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Saint Mary's (MN)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Saint Mary's (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1068 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#55) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1093 (#100) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +18.8 (#37) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.5 (#257) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.303 (#538) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.874 (#184) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.517 (#377) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.509 (#377) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.501 (#372) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.665 (#166) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.682 (#233) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 70 | GP 58 More → 1123 (#128) RD 70 | GP 58

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Gwynedd Mercy W 73 - 59
2025-11-07 @ North Central (IL) L 60 - 76
2025-11-08 vs Widener L 56 - 90
2025-11-10 vs North Central (MN) W 80 - 57
2025-11-13 vs McDaniel L 60 - 80
2025-11-14 vs Concordia Chicago W 78 - 69
2025-11-15 vs Hiram W 86 - 55
2025-11-15 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 59 - 70
2025-11-19 @ Crown (MN) W 80 - 36
2025-11-21 vs Wilmington (OH) W 81 - 71
2025-11-22 @ Delaware St. L 38 - 83
2025-11-22 vs Bethany Lutheran W 97 - 63
2025-11-22 @ Hanover W 88 - 80
2025-11-25 @ Anderson (IN) L 63 - 85
2025-11-29 vs Grinnell W 77 - 49
2025-11-30 @ Simpson W 76 - 70
2025-12-01 @ Gallaudet W 70 - 48
2025-12-03 vs Gallaudet W 84 - 43
2025-12-03 vs Calvin L 57 - 61
2025-12-03 vs Carleton W 64 - 48
2025-12-06 vs Hope L 42 - 82
2025-12-06 vs Cedar Crest W 55 - 34
2025-12-09 @ Swarthmore L 53 - 59
2025-12-10 @ Adrian L 68 - 98
2025-12-10 vs Hamline W 54 - 51
2025-12-11 @ Hood W 64 - 51
2025-12-13 @ Webster L 71 - 82
2025-12-13 @ Washington Col. L 62 - 72
2025-12-19 vs Mt. St. Joseph W 73 - 63
2025-12-20 vs Elmhurst L 55 - 74
2025-12-20 vs Rhodes W 81 - 76
2025-12-28 @ Guilford L 71 - 88
2025-12-29 @ North Dakota St. L 36 - 94
2025-12-29 vs Piedmont W 59 - 51
2025-12-30 vs Earlham W 78 - 55
2026-01-03 @ Trine L 48 - 71
2026-01-07 vs Olivet W 76 - 67
2026-01-07 @ Cairn W 98 - 40
2026-01-10 @ Penn St.-Abington W 98 - 44
2026-01-10 vs Concordia-M'head W 63 - 51
2026-01-10 @ Albion L 63 - 65
2026-01-13 @ Wilson W 109 - 50
2026-01-14 vs Alma L 63 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Augsburg W 89 - 40
2026-01-17 @ Lancaster Bible W 77 - 48
2026-01-17 @ Hope L 48 - 90
2026-01-17 @ St. Catherine L 61 - 68
2026-01-20 vs Salisbury W 83 - 78
2026-01-21 vs St. Olaf W 81 - 45
2026-01-24 vs Saint Benedict L 68 - 73
2026-01-28 @ Carleton W 71 - 59
2026-01-31 vs Bethel (MN) W 62 - 47
2026-02-04 vs St. Catherine W 70 - 41
2026-02-07 @ St. Olaf W 67 - 51

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rylie Sternquist - 17 26.7 14.2 4.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 2.2 10.4 8.8 107 5.3 29.3 47.2 35.6 77.6 1.9 57.5 51.7
Brianna Nusbaum - 18 29.6 14.0 3.0 2.2 2.6 0.1 2.4 11.9 7.5 147 7.0 34.7 46.0 39.7 62.8 2.04 53.9 52.3
Seanna Baird - 1 30.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 3.0 -197 -14.1 -148.1 60.0 100.0 100.0 -0.45 67.0 65.0
Olivia Liszt - 18 31.3 13.8 5.2 1.6 1.8 0.4 0.9 12.4 9.3 283 14.2 115.0 44.2 29.2 81.5 4.8 52.6 50.4
Keira Mason - 18 24.5 13.2 7.8 1.7 2.1 0.6 3.3 10.4 11.7 241 12.1 116.1 44.4 0.0 72.0 2.09 51.5 44.4
Ayla Olson - 18 26.1 13.2 7.7 2.0 2.1 0.6 2.5 9.1 13.9 150 7.1 42.8 52.4 25.8 71.2 1.92 59.5 54.9
Kate Restovich - 17 28.2 12.5 3.0 2.1 1.2 0.0 1.7 9.9 7.2 - - - 37.3 31.4 83.3 - 52.4 43.8
Natalie Greene - 1 37.0 12.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -90 -9.0 -88.5 33.3 0 40.0 0.68 36.6 33.3
Ella Notaro - 17 26.6 10.9 4.7 1.1 1.9 0.1 1.8 9.0 7.8 - - - 42.5 20.0 65.0 - 49.1 43.5
Tramarie Mobray - 18 23.2 10.6 4.3 3.3 1.9 0.3 3.5 8.1 8.8 189 9.4 97.2 50.0 35.5 69.4 2.82 57.0 53.8
Annie Restovich - 17 27.3 10.4 1.6 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.9 8.9 3.6 - - - 39.7 37.1 78.6 - 56.3 55.0
Hannah Outlaw - 13 19.2 10.0 5.5 1.2 1.8 0.3 1.6 6.4 10.9 - - - 51.8 29.2 62.7 - 59.7 56.0
Kali Olson - 18 23.5 9.7 9.7 1.9 1.6 1.2 2.2 8.3 13.6 129 6.1 45.5 49.0 0 74.4 4.99 52.7 49.0
Samantha Blaylock - 16 17.1 9.4 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 8.1 3.8 129 6.8 134.0 39.5 38.4 91.7 1.46 56.2 54.3
Kayla DeBrow - 1 22.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 12 0.7 10.5 80.0 0 50.0 -2.6 76.5 80.0
Mackenzie Schirg - 1 34.0 8.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 6.0 -137 -9.1 -125.9 36.4 0.0 0 -2.95 36.4 36.4
Kate Passinault - 16 20.2 7.5 4.4 1.4 1.3 0.8 2.3 5.9 7.2 - - - 56.4 21.7 52.9 - 59.1 59.0
Sam Blaylock - 2 19.0 6.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 1.5 -3 -3.0 -18.0 25.0 22.2 83.3 -0.76 44.4 33.3
Julia Koch - 15 24.7 6.4 3.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 1.9 6.1 4.4 122 6.8 30.9 34.8 25.7 63.9 0.59 44.5 39.7
Saffiyah Gibson - 18 12.8 6.1 1.6 1.5 1.6 0.0 2.1 7.3 1.4 160 8.0 161.3 32.8 16.7 58.8 0.87 37.3 34.0
Lindsey Lettner - 18 25.7 5.8 1.6 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.6 5.6 3.1 80 3.8 22.2 37.0 35.3 53.8 0.33 49.7 49.0
Nicole Connolly - 11 22.1 5.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 5.0 2.1 - - - 45.5 14.3 58.3 - 48.9 47.3
Liv Fry - 17 26.5 4.6 4.7 3.9 1.1 0.1 3.2 4.7 6.5 - - - 32.5 16.7 62.2 - 41.0 35.0
Skylar Woodyard - 13 10.6 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.6 3.3 3.4 67 4.5 57.2 46.5 37.5 65.0 1.45 54.1 50.0
Rayna Miller - 18 23.4 4.2 4.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 4.7 6.1 115 5.8 55.5 34.5 33.3 69.6 2.32 40.4 35.7
Caroline Langworthy - 17 11.3 4.0 2.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.6 4.5 1.6 - - - 31.6 24.5 66.7 - 41.8 39.5
Marley Saunders - 13 12.9 3.8 1.8 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.8 4.8 1.9 131 9.4 85.8 24.2 25.0 66.7 2.1 37.2 33.9
Halimah Hajhassan - 18 10.6 3.0 2.6 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.4 3.3 3.1 152 7.6 84.4 36.7 36.8 50.0 0.43 43.1 42.5
Tiana Starayev - 1 30.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 -3.0 -98 -12.2 -171.8 20.0 0 50.0 -2.55 25.5 20.0
Ella Andree - 17 12.9 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 3.7 1.6 - - - 25.4 14.7 59.1 - 34.4 29.4
Hadley Sammons - 18 20.8 2.8 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.7 2.9 3.4 171 8.1 68.2 34.6 17.9 76.9 2.65 44.2 39.4
Sidney Shaw - 16 16.1 2.7 2.6 2.1 1.4 0.2 1.5 3.0 4.5 123 6.5 143.3 33.3 40.0 41.7 2.73 40.4 39.6
Emma Mann - 18 15.5 2.7 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.9 2.2 87 4.1 35.4 34.0 40.7 100.0 -3.16 45.5 44.3
Tessa McMahon - 2 13.4 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 5 2.5 6.0 66.7 50.0 0 -0.21 83.3 83.3
London Best - 18 18.3 2.2 2.6 1.2 1.3 0.0 1.3 3.2 2.8 180 9.0 115.2 31.6 0.0 33.3 3.44 32.1 31.6
Evangeline Diaz - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 -1.0 -70 -3.9 -98.1 0.0 0 100.0 -2.94 53.2 0.0
Jaiden Thompson - 12 6.3 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.0 1.3 -22 -2.0 -58.2 33.3 30.0 75.0 -2.55 42.7 39.6
Ingrid Beaumont - 7 5.7 1.7 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 0.4 -4 -0.6 -12.0 33.3 25.0 0 -1.66 40.0 40.0
Alyssa Matuza - 16 10.1 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 - - - 32.3 20.0 50.0 - 37.6 37.1
Samantha Miller - 8 8.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.9 0.8 - - - 26.7 25.0 50.0 - 31.5 30.0
Gabby Webb - 12 5.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 - - - 25.0 0.0 66.7 - 34.2 25.0
Kori Dues - 10 7.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.2 -0.1 - - - 25.0 18.2 0 - 33.3 33.3
Alexis Kube - 12 7.6 0.8 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.1 0.1 36 2.8 66.6 12.0 9.1 30.0 -2.03 17.0 14.0
Ji-Young Hartman - 7 4.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.4 64 6.4 73.2 28.6 20.0 0 1.63 35.7 35.7
Chloe Stanford - 7 4.0 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 18 2.0 55.5 25.0 0 75.0 -0.13 43.4 25.0
Emma Fonke - 8 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 20 2.2 119.7 20.0 0 50.0 0.65 32.7 20.0
Kenadie Schrock - 5 2.7 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 -0.6 37 2.5 11.3 11.1 0.0 0 0.79 11.1 11.1
Cara Kucharski - 5 1.9 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Karina Peppler - 4 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Josey Cook - 2 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 3 1.0 39.1 0.0 0 0 0.29 0.0 0.0
Shanice Walters - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kate Aquino Uribe - 1 23.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -107 -9.7 -125.1 0.0 0 0 -3.48 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG