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Saint Mary's (MN)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Saint Mary's (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1127 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1215 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1093 (#100) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +19.1 (#47) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +6.5 (#257) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.303 (#538) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.874 (#184) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More → 0.517 (#377) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.3 More → 0.509 (#377) AdjNet +0.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.501 (#372) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.665 (#166) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.667 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.682 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 70 | GP 58 More → 1131 (#120) RD 70 | GP 58

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Gwynedd Mercy - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 @ North Central (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Widener - Incomplete score
2025-11-10 vs North Central (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-13 vs McDaniel - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Concordia Chicago - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Hiram - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Wis.-La Crosse - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ Crown (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Wilmington (OH) - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Delaware St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Bethany Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Hanover - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Anderson (IN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Grinnell - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ Simpson - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 @ Gallaudet - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Gallaudet - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Calvin - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Carleton - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Hope - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Cedar Crest - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 @ Swarthmore - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ Adrian - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Hamline - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ Hood - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Webster - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Washington Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs Mt. St. Joseph - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Elmhurst - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Rhodes - Incomplete score
2025-12-28 @ Guilford - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ North Dakota St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Piedmont - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Earlham - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Trine - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Olivet - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Cairn - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Penn St.-Abington - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Concordia-M'head - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Albion - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 @ Wilson - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Alma - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Augsburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Lancaster Bible - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Hope - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ St. Catherine - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Salisbury - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs St. Olaf - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Saint Benedict - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Carleton - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Bethel (MN) - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs St. Catherine - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ St. Olaf - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rylie Sternquist - 16 26.9 14.6 4.8 1.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 10.6 9.4 107 5.3 29.3 48.5 35.6 75.7 -1.45 58.3 53.3
Brianna Nusbaum - 17 29.8 14.4 3.1 2.4 2.6 0.1 2.5 12.1 8.0 147 7.0 34.7 46.8 38.8 62.8 1.1 54.7 53.2
Seanna Baird - 1 30.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 3.0 -197 -14.1 -148.1 60.0 100.0 100.0 -5.59 67.0 65.0
Olivia Liszt - 17 31.2 13.9 5.2 1.6 1.9 0.4 1.0 12.5 9.6 283 14.2 115.0 44.1 30.0 81.5 3.26 52.7 50.5
Keira Mason - 17 23.9 13.5 8.0 1.8 2.2 0.6 3.3 10.4 12.4 241 12.1 116.1 46.0 0 70.8 1.24 52.7 46.0
Ayla Olson - 17 26.3 13.5 7.7 2.1 2.1 0.6 2.5 9.4 14.1 150 7.1 42.8 52.2 25.8 72.4 3.1 59.5 54.7
Kate Restovich - 17 28.2 12.5 3.0 2.1 1.2 0.0 1.7 9.9 7.2 - - - 37.3 31.4 83.3 1.62 52.4 43.8
Natalie Greene - 1 37.0 12.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 12.0 12.0 -90 -9.0 -88.5 33.3 0 40.0 2.4 36.6 33.3
Tramarie Mobray - 17 22.9 10.9 4.4 3.5 2.0 0.4 3.5 8.2 9.5 189 9.4 97.2 50.4 35.5 72.3 1.27 57.9 54.3
Ella Notaro - 17 26.6 10.9 4.7 1.1 1.9 0.1 1.8 9.0 7.8 - - - 42.5 20.0 65.0 1.81 49.1 43.5
Annie Restovich - 17 27.3 10.4 1.6 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.9 8.9 3.6 - - - 39.7 37.1 78.6 -2.14 56.3 55.0
Samantha Blaylock - 15 18.0 10.1 1.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 1.3 8.5 4.2 129 6.8 134.0 39.8 38.8 91.7 0.91 56.6 54.7
Hannah Outlaw - 13 19.2 10.0 5.5 1.2 1.8 0.3 1.6 6.4 10.9 - - - 51.8 29.2 62.7 0.54 59.7 56.0
Kali Olson - 17 23.2 9.8 9.8 1.9 1.6 1.2 2.1 8.2 14.1 129 6.1 45.5 49.3 0 74.4 1.44 53.1 49.3
Kayla DeBrow - 1 22.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 12 0.7 10.5 80.0 0 50.0 2.13 76.5 80.0
Mackenzie Schirg - 1 34.0 8.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 6.0 -137 -9.1 -125.9 36.4 0.0 0 -3.32 36.4 36.4
Kate Passinault - 16 20.2 7.5 4.4 1.4 1.3 0.8 2.3 5.9 7.2 - - - 56.4 21.7 52.9 -1.96 59.1 59.0
Julia Koch - 14 25.6 6.9 3.6 1.6 0.9 0.4 1.9 6.4 4.9 122 6.8 30.9 36.0 25.7 63.9 1.49 45.8 41.0
Sam Blaylock - 2 19.0 6.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 1.5 -3 -3.0 -18.0 25.0 22.2 83.3 0.91 44.4 33.3
Saffiyah Gibson - 17 13.1 6.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 0.0 2.0 7.4 1.6 160 8.0 161.3 33.3 16.7 57.6 2.26 37.7 34.5
Lindsey Lettner - 17 26.1 6.2 1.6 2.2 0.7 0.0 1.6 5.8 3.4 80 3.8 22.2 37.4 35.8 53.8 -0.3 50.1 49.5
Nicole Connolly - 11 22.1 5.4 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.8 5.0 2.1 - - - 45.5 14.3 58.3 2.62 48.9 47.3
Skylar Woodyard - 12 10.7 4.7 1.8 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.6 3.5 3.8 67 4.5 57.2 47.6 37.5 65.0 -0.98 55.1 51.2
Liv Fry - 17 26.5 4.6 4.7 3.9 1.1 0.1 3.2 4.7 6.5 - - - 32.5 16.7 62.2 -0.14 41.0 35.0
Rayna Miller - 17 24.3 4.5 4.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.0 4.9 6.4 115 5.8 55.5 34.9 33.3 69.6 -4.24 40.8 36.1
Marley Saunders - 12 13.5 4.2 2.0 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.7 5.2 2.2 131 9.4 85.8 24.2 25.0 66.7 3.52 37.2 33.9
Caroline Langworthy - 17 11.3 4.0 2.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.6 4.5 1.6 - - - 31.6 24.5 66.7 -0.79 41.8 39.5
Hadley Sammons - 17 20.9 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.9 0.1 1.8 2.9 3.6 171 8.1 68.2 36.7 19.2 76.9 5.78 46.6 41.8
Tiana Starayev - 1 30.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 -3.0 -98 -12.2 -171.8 20.0 0 50.0 -2.74 25.5 20.0
Halimah Hajhassan - 17 9.8 2.9 2.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 3.2 3.0 152 7.6 84.4 36.4 38.9 50.0 2.36 43.4 42.7
Sidney Shaw - 15 16.3 2.9 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.3 1.6 3.1 4.7 123 6.5 143.3 34.0 42.9 41.7 1.4 41.1 40.4
Ella Andree - 17 12.9 2.9 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 3.7 1.6 - - - 25.4 14.7 59.1 -2.21 34.4 29.4
Emma Mann - 17 15.7 2.9 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.6 3.0 2.4 87 4.1 35.4 35.3 42.3 100.0 -2.39 47.2 46.1
Tessa McMahon - 2 13.4 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 5 2.5 6.0 66.7 50.0 0 -0.32 83.3 83.3
London Best - 17 18.3 2.3 2.6 1.2 1.4 0.0 1.2 3.2 3.1 180 9.0 115.2 33.3 0.0 30.0 3.66 33.4 33.3
Jaiden Thompson - 11 5.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 1.8 -22 -2.0 -58.2 40.0 33.3 75.0 -1.62 50.6 47.5
Ingrid Beaumont - 6 4.8 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.2 1.0 -4 -0.6 -12.0 38.5 33.3 0 -0.93 46.2 46.2
Evangeline Diaz - 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 -1.0 -70 -3.9 -98.1 0.0 0 100.0 -1.63 53.2 0.0
Alyssa Matuza - 16 10.1 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 - - - 32.3 20.0 50.0 0.56 37.6 37.1
Samantha Miller - 7 9.2 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.0 1.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 50.0 -2.06 33.6 32.1
Gabby Webb - 12 5.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 - - - 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.18 34.2 25.0
Kori Dues - 10 7.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 1.2 -0.1 - - - 25.0 18.2 0 -0.79 33.3 33.3
Chloe Stanford - 6 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 18 2.0 55.5 33.3 0 75.0 -2.47 52.5 33.3
Emma Fonke - 7 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 20 2.2 119.7 20.0 0 50.0 - 32.7 20.0
Alexis Kube - 11 7.3 0.5 1.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 2.1 -0.2 36 2.8 66.6 4.3 0.0 30.0 0.22 9.1 4.3
Kenadie Schrock - 5 2.7 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 -0.6 37 2.5 11.3 11.1 0.0 0 -0.31 11.1 11.1
Ji-Young Hartman - 6 4.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 64 6.4 73.2 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cara Kucharski - 5 1.9 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Karina Peppler - 4 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Josey Cook - 2 1.8 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.5 3 1.0 39.1 0.0 0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Shanice Walters - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kate Aquino Uribe - 1 23.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -107 -9.7 -125.1 0.0 0 0 -4.57 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG