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Saint Mary's (CA)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Saint Mary's (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#134) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1024 (#221) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.6 (#110) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +12.7 (#173) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#105) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.218 (#480) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.0 More → 0.997 (#69) NetEff +40.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +42.3 More → 0.993 (#63) AdjNet +42.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.606 (#354) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.8 More → 0.993 (#66) AdjNet +41.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.628 (#347) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6 More → 0.898 (#76) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.576 (#336) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3 More → 0.609 (#156) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.675 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 1088 (#151) RD 101 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ UTRGV L 46 - 64
2025-11-14 @ South Dakota Mines W 54 - 50
2025-11-16 @ Black Hills St. W 61 - 58
2025-11-19 @ Lamar University L 30 - 61
2025-11-22 vs Western Colo. W 66 - 65
2025-11-28 vs Washburn W 53 - 49
2025-11-29 vs Okla. Baptist W 50 - 44
2025-12-04 vs Western N.M. W 79 - 67
2025-12-06 vs Sul Ross St. W 64 - 50
2025-12-11 @ UIW L 48 - 65
2025-12-16 @ Texas Woman's L 53 - 59
2026-01-02 vs Midwestern St. W 72 - 54
2026-01-10 @ West Tex. A&M L 62 - 80
2026-01-15 vs Texas Woman's L 57 - 69
2026-01-17 vs UT Tyler L 51 - 56
2026-01-22 @ Okla. Christian W 66 - 43
2026-01-31 vs Texas-Dallas W 64 - 60
2026-02-05 @ Tex. A&M Int'l L 55 - 57
2026-02-07 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 59 - 39

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Christin Callens - 19 25.6 10.6 4.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 2.7 9.9 4.6 27 1.4 6.7 41.5 29.4 83.7 3.12 48.2 42.8
Allie Garcia - 19 25.2 10.4 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.9 8.5 4.0 66 3.5 17.3 48.4 33.3 72.2 1.07 58.6 57.5
Aina Maynou - 19 25.5 7.2 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.1 2.2 6.2 4.1 30 1.6 7.7 41.0 33.3 88.2 1.38 54.6 51.7
Quezia Bertoni - 14 21.8 6.9 2.9 2.4 0.4 0.1 1.0 4.2 7.4 18 1.0 9.8 45.8 38.5 89.2 2.08 64.4 54.2
Imani Ivery - 15 15.8 6.2 2.5 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.5 5.8 3.8 74 4.6 29.1 42.5 38.7 36.8 3.85 48.8 49.4
Raynne Malik - 19 26.0 5.4 7.8 0.9 0.8 2.5 2.1 4.9 10.5 -4 -0.2 -1.0 38.7 13.8 60.0 -3.0 45.7 40.9
Lena Newby - 19 13.1 3.3 3.9 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 3.4 4.2 28 1.3 16.4 40.6 28.6 40.0 -2.66 42.6 42.2
Brianna Vargas - 19 10.6 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.6 -24 -1.3 -13.8 44.7 43.2 75.0 -2.95 62.6 61.7
Tiara Louis - 19 15.7 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.4 2.6 1.0 -61 -2.9 -26.4 34.7 32.5 50.0 -1.44 48.4 48.0
Andrea Montesinos - 19 16.5 1.9 2.2 1.7 0.3 0.2 1.4 2.6 2.3 -4 -0.2 -1.5 20.0 22.6 81.8 0.69 32.8 27.0
Peyton Stellato - 2 12.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 -0.5 -11 -3.7 -23.4 20.0 25.0 0 -1.77 30.0 30.0
Emily Buitron - 9 6.7 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.9 -7 -1.0 -33.6 25.0 22.2 75.0 -0.39 40.0 33.3
Cornelia Petersson - 8 8.8 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.0 1.8 - - - 37.5 33.3 50.0 - 47.0 43.8
Sian Phipps - 15 4.5 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 0.7 -13 -0.9 -47.9 20.8 0.0 75.0 -1.08 29.1 20.8
Brooke Kleinig - 12 4.5 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.6 1.3 -28 -2.5 -76.5 57.1 33.3 37.5 1.1 57.0 64.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG