Saint Mary's (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1049 (#134) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 992 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1101 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#179) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1024 (#221) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.6 (#110) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.7 (#173) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.994 (#105) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.218 (#480) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#69) | NetEff +40.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.993 (#63) | AdjNet +42.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.606 (#354) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.993 (#66) | AdjNet +41.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.628 (#347) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.898 (#76) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#336) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#156) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.676 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1098 (#113) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Texas Woman's | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Tarleton St. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-13 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 67 - 49 |
| 2018-11-16 | vs | UT Permian Basin | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Southern Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-20 | @ | East Texas A&M | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-23 | vs | Central Mo. | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-24 | vs | Kutztown | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | @ | Angelo St. | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Midwestern St. | L | 35 - 51 |
| 2018-12-18 | vs | Cameron | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-02 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Frostburg St. | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2019-01-10 | @ | St. Edward's | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2019-01-12 | vs | Lubbock Christian | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-17 | @ | Newman | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2019-01-19 | @ | Okla. Christian | L | 53 - 104 |
| 2019-01-24 | vs | Rogers St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-31 | vs | St. Edward's | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 49 - 79 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-07 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | vs | Newman | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Okla. Christian | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-21 | @ | Rogers St. | L | 66 - 72 |
| 2019-02-23 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-08 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2019-03-09 | @ | Newman | L | 52 - 59 |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.