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Saint Mary's (CA)

Also known as: Saint Mary's (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#134) -
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1024 (#221) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +6.6 (#110) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +12.7 (#173) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#105) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.218 (#480) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +40.0 More → 0.997 (#69) NetEff +40.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +42.3 More → 0.993 (#63) AdjNet +42.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.7 More → 0.606 (#354) AdjNet +3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.8 More → 0.993 (#66) AdjNet +41.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.628 (#347) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6 More → 0.898 (#76) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 More → 0.576 (#336) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3 More → 0.609 (#156) AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.675 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 1088 (#151) RD 101 | GP 22

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Cameron W 81 - 64
2016-11-12 @ Tarleton St. W 65 - 53
2016-11-14 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 54 - 63
2016-11-18 vs UT Permian Basin W 73 - 53
2016-11-19 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines W 75 - 61
2016-11-22 vs Tarleton St. W 48 - 36
2016-11-25 vs East Central W 54 - 37
2016-11-26 vs Minn.-Crookston W 70 - 57
2016-12-03 @ West Florida W 78 - 73
2016-12-13 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville L 43 - 57
2016-12-17 vs Rogers St. W 75 - 61
2016-12-19 vs Ark.-Fort Smith W 76 - 53
2016-12-31 vs Lubbock Christian W 55 - 47
2017-01-04 @ Frostburg St. L 54 - 61
2017-01-05 @ St. Edward's L 65 - 82
2017-01-07 @ Okla. Christian W 84 - 73
2017-01-14 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 69 - 33
2017-01-19 vs Okla. Panhandle W 88 - 50
2017-01-21 vs Newman W 67 - 65
2017-01-26 @ Ark.-Fort Smith W 84 - 66
2017-01-28 @ Rogers St. W 71 - 57
2017-02-04 @ Lubbock Christian L 56 - 70
2017-02-09 vs Okla. Christian L 47 - 68
2017-02-11 vs Frostburg St. L 58 - 80
2017-02-11 vs St. Edward's W 72 - 48
2017-02-18 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 86 - 46
2017-02-23 @ Newman L 68 - 73
2017-02-25 @ Okla. Panhandle W 76 - 64
2017-03-02 @ Rogers St. W 72 - 65
2017-03-04 vs Lubbock Christian L 51 - 70

2017 Roster

No roster data available for this season.