Saint Mary's (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1049 (#134) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 992 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1101 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#179) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1024 (#221) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.6 (#110) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.7 (#173) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.994 (#105) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.218 (#480) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.997 (#69) | NetEff +40.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.993 (#63) | AdjNet +42.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.606 (#354) | AdjNet +3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.993 (#66) | AdjNet +41.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.628 (#347) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.898 (#76) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#336) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.609 (#156) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 54.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.676 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.675 (#203) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1098 (#113) | RD 101 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Texas Woman's | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Winona St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Lewis-Clark St. | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2015-11-27 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-02 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Tarleton St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-13 | @ | Angelo St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-17 | vs | Okla. Panhandle | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | Lubbock Christian | L | 51 - 77 |
| 2015-12-31 | @ | Newman | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Okla. Christian | W | 96 - 85 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Frostburg St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-14 | @ | UT Permian Basin | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 52 - 71 |
| 2016-01-21 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-28 | vs | Okla. Christian | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Newman | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2016-02-04 | @ | Rogers St. | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-11 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | UT Permian Basin | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-18 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 53 - 57 |
| 2016-02-25 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 47 - 77 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | Okla. Panhandle | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-03 | @ | Okla. Christian | - | Preview |
| 2016-03-05 | @ | Lubbock Christian | L | 42 - 63 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.