Saint Mary's (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1043 (#190) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1146 (#36) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.9 (#147) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#1) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 1.000 (#1) | AdjNet +73.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 1.000 (#1) | AdjNet +74.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.989 (#1) | AdjO 95.3 | AdjD 46.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.737 (#50) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.790 (#74) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.788 (#68) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1194 (#53) | RD 79 | GP 56 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-11 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Preview |
| 2020-12-12 | @ | Lubbock Christian | - | Preview |
| 2020-12-18 | vs | DBU | - | Preview |
| 2020-12-19 | vs | East Texas A&M | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2020-12-19 | vs | DBU | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-02 | @ | East Texas A&M | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ | East Texas A&M | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2021-01-07 | @ | UTRGV | L | 67 - 96 |
| 2021-01-14 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2021-01-22 | vs | Angelo St. | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2021-01-23 | vs | Angelo St. | L | 60 - 67 |
| 2021-01-27 | @ | UT Tyler | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-30 | vs | UT Tyler | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-04 | vs | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | St. Edward's | W | 76 - 73 |
| 2021-02-12 | vs | Cameron | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-13 | vs | Cameron | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-15 | @ | UT Tyler | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-18 | vs | St. Edward's | - | Preview |
| 2021-02-22 | vs | UT Tyler | L | 46 - 60 |
| 2021-02-24 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 70 - 87 |
| 2021-02-26 | @ | Okla. Christian | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2021-02-27 | @ | Okla. Christian | W | 83 - 76 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.