🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Leo

Also known as: Saint Leo
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 926 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#398) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 841 (#578) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.9 (#204) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -8.0 (#439) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.335 (#423) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.1 More → 0.223 (#271) NetEff -12.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.623 (#347) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.625 (#351) AdjNet +4.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.4 More → 0.576 (#352) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 77.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 82.6 More → 0.313 (#533) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 82.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.309 (#462) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.298 (#479) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 856 (#415) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Savannah St. W 78 - 68
2025-11-15 vs Clark Atlanta L 68 - 79
2025-11-22 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) L 80 - 104
2025-11-25 vs Webber Int'l W 90 - 84
2025-11-28 @ Bemidji St. L 78 - 87
2025-11-29 vs Winona St. W 81 - 54
2025-12-03 vs Fla. Southern L 93 - 101
2025-12-06 @ Florida Tech W 71 - 67
2025-12-09 @ West Florida L 66 - 95
2025-12-10 @ Fla. Atlantic L 55 - 112
2025-12-18 @ South Fla. Bible W 104 - 66
2025-12-19 @ American Int'l W 85 - 66
2025-12-31 @ Rollins L 74 - 85
2026-01-03 vs Lynn L 62 - 77
2026-01-07 @ Tampa L 91 - 99
2026-01-10 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 69 - 93
2026-01-14 vs Eckerd L 67 - 85
2026-01-17 vs Barry L 73 - 81
2026-01-21 vs Nova Southeastern L 74 - 126
2026-01-24 vs Rollins L 63 - 80
2026-01-28 @ Fla. Southern L 85 - 95
2026-01-31 vs Florida Tech W 88 - 83
2026-02-04 @ Lynn L 85 - 97
2026-02-07 vs Palm Beach Atl. L 61 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ryan Blount - 1 33.5 33.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 18.0 25.0 42 2.0 9.3 61.1 37.5 80.0 -2.2 73.7 69.4
Javonte Landy - 1 35.8 23.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 27.0 8.0 -9 -0.5 -2.2 37.0 28.6 33.3 -3.45 40.6 40.7
Ameer Ramadan - 1 26.3 19.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 14.0 114 5.2 24.1 50.0 66.7 90.0 3.21 76.6 62.5
Khalyl Simmons - 1 25.5 18.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 16.0 - - - 71.4 50.0 58.3 - 73.3 78.6
Ryan Heise - 1 28.8 18.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 14.0 -49 -2.1 -9.4 58.3 66.7 100.0 -1.29 69.9 66.7
Trey Lane - 1 26.6 17.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 67 3.2 16.5 46.2 33.3 100.0 0.62 61.2 57.7
Orlando Thomas - 1 22.5 17.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 80.0 100.0 - 90.0 88.9
Jadyn Shider - 1 25.6 17.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 17.0 -16 -0.9 -5.3 83.3 0 100.0 -0.04 93.6 83.3
Brady Corso - 1 33.1 16.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 79 3.3 14.8 33.3 50.0 70.0 -0.26 59.7 50.0
Spencer Schomers - 1 30.7 16.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 16.0 37 1.8 10.7 62.5 25.0 83.3 -4.42 75.2 68.8
Zion Davis - 1 33.6 16.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 3.0 -8 -0.4 -3.8 41.7 20.0 83.3 -0.32 54.6 45.8
Donovan Hill - 17 34.7 15.2 7.0 2.5 1.4 0.6 2.5 14.5 9.8 -210 -9.5 -49.9 38.1 31.7 75.0 -0.2 48.6 45.7
Khalil Ross - 1 25.9 15.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 10.0 76 3.3 19.7 63.6 50.0 0 -0.11 68.2 68.2
Elijah Walsh - 1 27.8 15.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 13.0 176 7.7 35.8 54.5 60.0 0 2.59 68.2 68.2
Jaquris Slaughter - 1 25.8 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 10.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 0 - 77.8 77.8
Luther Smith - 15 25.3 13.9 2.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.1 9.5 6.4 -99 -5.0 -51.2 43.0 37.5 93.4 0.22 61.9 53.5
Owen Pawlikowski - 16 34.2 13.7 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.2 2.3 12.1 8.0 -239 -11.4 -59.2 38.3 33.0 79.6 -1.2 51.0 46.6
Zachary O'Callaghan - 1 24.4 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 0 0.0 - 57.5 60.0
Gavyn Hurley - 1 26.4 12.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 9.0 -53 -2.8 -8.4 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.71 61.5 50.0
Ny'Mire Little - 1 30.8 12.0 6.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 13.0 49 2.7 24.2 27.3 42.9 100.0 3.19 48.7 40.9
Gabriel Sorensen - 1 31.3 11.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 75.0 - 52.3 35.7
Clifton Robinson III - 1 15.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 12 0.9 15.9 50.0 40.0 50.0 1.34 61.9 62.5
Jordan Wildy - 1 15.7 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.0 -9 -2.2 -20.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.32 110.0 110.0
B.J. Schaeffer - 1 22.1 10.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 96 4.8 30.3 57.1 100.0 25.0 2.47 57.1 64.3
Mateusz Szpin - 1 20.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 57 2.9 55.4 80.0 0 100.0 0.54 85.0 80.0
Charlie Dalton - 1 36.1 10.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 20.0 129 5.6 21.8 33.3 0.0 75.0 2.32 52.5 33.3
Zyere Edwards - 1 15.7 10.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 7.0 -12 -0.6 -4.5 22.2 25.0 100.0 -1.13 46.5 33.3
Matthew Ansah - 9 26.8 9.8 5.0 4.8 1.7 0.3 2.7 8.9 10.0 -93 -7.8 -36.6 38.8 25.0 58.5 1.3 44.9 40.0
Dominic Commisso - 18 27.0 9.5 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.9 7.4 7.8 -181 -7.9 -43.0 56.0 31.2 44.4 -4.18 57.1 57.8
Tae Wilson - 4 23.9 9.2 4.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 9.0 7.0 - - - 38.9 45.5 57.1 - 47.3 45.8
Camden Cerese - 4 23.9 9.2 4.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 9.0 7.0 -32 -3.2 -51.2 38.9 45.5 57.1 -0.42 47.3 45.8
Peyton Weathersby - 1 18.2 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 -28 -1.6 -10.8 16.7 0 87.5 -3.87 47.3 16.7
Ben Southerland - 1 11.1 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 5 0.6 17.1 50.0 40.0 0.0 -1.15 62.1 66.7
Tyler Mason - 1 34.8 7.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 0.0 -43 -1.9 -6.7 30.0 16.7 0 -0.92 35.0 35.0
Amare Miller - 1 24.4 7.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 93 4.2 17.9 42.9 0 50.0 2.0 44.4 42.9
Lenz Dupont - 12 15.3 6.4 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.1 5.2 3.8 -71 -4.2 -154.5 41.9 33.3 59.4 0.07 50.6 46.8
Jordan Ruggirello - 10 12.0 6.0 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.4 4.7 2.8 -35 -3.5 -14.5 40.4 41.2 80.0 -0.52 58.4 55.3
Camden McCormick - 1 13.5 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 65 3.2 15.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.26 61.5 50.0
Najhae Colon - 1 30.6 6.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -32 -1.7 -17.2 16.7 33.3 75.0 -0.54 38.7 25.0
Montrell Bell - 1 7.5 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 31 1.5 5.1 33.3 0 100.0 2.97 57.9 33.3
James Leach - 1 23.8 5.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 33 1.6 10.7 50.0 0 50.0 1.56 51.2 50.0
Jayden Johnson - 18 14.5 4.9 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.7 4.9 2.9 -89 -4.0 -33.2 34.8 28.8 50.0 0.21 44.6 43.3
Ian Higdon - 1 13.5 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 25 1.2 10.9 100.0 0 0 -0.1 100.0 100.0
Kyler Lamb - 1 13.7 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 54 2.7 38.0 33.3 0.0 0 1.67 33.3 33.3
Justin Taylor - 1 24.6 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 -23 -5.8 -8.4 33.3 0.0 0.0 -1.38 31.1 33.3
Connor Roffers - 1 13.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -111 -5.8 -49.1 50.0 0.0 0 -4.08 50.0 50.0
Alessandro Tonelli - 1 19.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 -4 -0.2 -0.8 33.3 0.0 0 2.37 33.3 33.3
Kelvin Cochran - 1 13.7 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 -7 -0.4 -8.9 50.0 0 100.0 -1.27 69.4 50.0
Camarion Johnson - 1 12.9 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 -6 -0.3 -2.7 66.7 0 0 0.32 66.7 66.7
Elijah Harris - 18 21.0 3.8 2.8 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.5 3.0 5.9 -42 -1.8 -11.5 51.9 21.4 50.0 -0.63 54.9 54.6
Trent Scott - 1 21.4 3.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 -28 -3.5 -23.6 100.0 0 33.3 -2.51 64.7 100.0
Kellen Little - 1 4.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -19 -1.9 -90.5 50.0 50.0 0 -1.28 75.0 75.0
Jasir Tremble - 1 20.8 3.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 55 2.5 13.2 20.0 0.0 50.0 -1.22 25.5 20.0
Kasai Fontanez - 1 9.7 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Jordan Mikel - 1 24.1 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 -5 -0.3 -5.0 25.0 0 50.0 -0.47 30.7 25.0
Kharye Cayne - 1 34.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 19 1.0 4.7 20.0 50.0 0 1.3 30.0 30.0
Paul Lanzi - 10 11.8 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.6 3.9 0.9 -49 -3.3 -213.4 28.2 21.7 66.7 0.75 36.0 34.6
Ethan Taylor - 1 10.7 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Tyler Borowski - 1 13.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -54 -2.6 -28.9 25.0 0.0 0 -3.26 25.0 25.0
Jackson Hayes - 1 4.6 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -22 -1.8 -31.8 0.0 0 100.0 -0.13 53.2 0.0
Ryan Watters - 1 15.8 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 -37 -3.1 -30.2 25.0 0.0 0 -1.74 25.0 25.0
Brandon Johnson - 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -30 -1.5 -16.9 25.0 0.0 0.0 -0.34 22.5 25.0
Chancellor Wilson - 1 16.4 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -0.4 0.0 0 50.0 0.75 17.4 0.0
Chase Hill - 1 2.7 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -13 -0.7 -4.3 33.3 0 0 0.44 33.3 33.3
Sam Kodi - 1 9.4 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 -24 -2.7 -85.1 50.0 0 0 -0.52 50.0 50.0
Kalen White - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -54 -2.8 -39.8 50.0 0.0 0 -2.13 50.0 50.0
Trey Murray - 15 8.3 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.1 - - - 32.1 20.0 0.0 - 34.8 37.5
Aeris Lawson - 15 8.3 1.4 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.1 0 0.0 0.0 32.1 20.0 0.0 0.03 34.8 37.5
Logan Ryan - 6 4.8 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.0 36 1.6 11.5 20.0 0.0 66.7 -1.47 31.6 20.0
Nick Ghetie - 6 4.8 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.0 -2 -0.3 -13.9 20.0 0.0 66.7 0.32 31.6 20.0
Alex Sherwood - 8 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.2 - - - 28.6 0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Manuel Castro - 8 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.2 -5 -0.6 -40.1 28.6 0 0 0.66 28.6 28.6
Gabriel Santos-Burgos - 6 3.3 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 -2 -0.3 -15.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.28 12.9 0.0
Amir Benelbasry - 1 12.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jovon Rosse - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Montreal McCullough - 1 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Aidan Bardic - 1 26.7 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 -66 -2.9 -12.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.93 0.0 0.0
Tyson Keil - 1 11.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -34 -1.5 -16.6 0 0 0.0 -2.1 0.0 0
LaDarrius Chigano - 1 3.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4 0.2 4.2 0 0 0 -2.12 0 0
Braylon Jackson - 1 11.4 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 -2 -0.1 -1.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.44 0.0 0.0
Mekhi Witter - 1 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -3.6 -55.7 0 0 0 -1.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG