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Saint Joseph's

Season: 2026
Also known as: Saint Joseph's
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1056 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1124 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#387) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +11.9 (#206) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#159) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.2 More → 0.943 (#148) AdjNet +24.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.7 More → 0.943 (#150) AdjNet +23.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 71.5 More → 0.857 (#138) AdjO 91.2 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.755 (#59) AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.758 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1138 (#117) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-25 vs Rutgers-Camden W 100 - 61
2025-12-28 vs Arcadia W 87 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaiden Glover-Toscano - 2 25.7 22.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 12.5 14.0 - - - 52.0 50.0 78.6 - 72.2 68.0
Dasear Haskins - 2 22.6 11.0 6.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 8.0 13.0 - - - 62.5 33.3 0 - 68.8 68.8
Deuce Jones II - 1 11.9 10.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 80.0 - 69.4 60.0
Khaafiq Myers - 2 23.1 9.0 8.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 8.5 11.5 - - - 47.1 40.0 0 - 52.9 52.9
Jaden Smith - 2 10.4 8.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 8.0 116 5.3 29.3 66.7 0.0 71.4 -0.06 70.4 66.7
Al Amadou - 2 20.7 7.5 4.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 1.5 5.0 9.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 42.9 - 57.3 60.0
Anthony Finkley - 1 15.2 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 20.0 100.0 - 50.9 41.7
Derek Simpson - 2 23.1 6.5 4.5 6.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 5.5 12.0 - - - 45.5 25.0 100.0 - 54.7 50.0
Austin Williford - 2 24.9 6.0 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 4.5 8.5 - - - 33.3 0.0 85.7 - 49.7 33.3
Steven Solano - 1 6.7 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 3 1.5 68.6 100.0 0 0 0.49 100.0 100.0
Mekai Johnson - 2 7.8 5.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 27 1.4 89.4 62.5 25.0 0 1.8 68.8 68.8
Will Lange - 1 11.6 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Justice Ajogbor - 2 9.9 2.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Billy Rayer - 2 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Kevin Kearney - 1 10.1 0.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG