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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

2016 Team Stats (2 games)

55.5
PPG
91.5
Opp
-36.0
Margin
30.7%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
31.5
RPG
8.0
APG
12.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
75.0
Adj Opp PPG
#305
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 824 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 865 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 947 (#246) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -10.8 (#305) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -11.2 (#314) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.361 (#234) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.3 More โ†’ 0.146 (#304) AdjNet -15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.5 More โ†’ 0.143 (#304) AdjNet -15.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 75.0 More โ†’ 0.293 (#305) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 73.4 More โ†’ 0.381 (#280) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.253 (#300) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.269 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 29 More โ†’ 831 (#283) RD 156 | GP 29

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 56 - 87
2015-11-17 vs Westminster (PA) Titans W 103 - 72
2015-11-21 vs American University Eagles W 68 - 48
2015-11-24 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 60 - 79
2015-11-27 @ Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 57 - 70
2015-12-02 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 84 - 73
2015-12-04 @ Maryland Terrapins L 55 - 96
2015-12-12 vs Duquesne Dukes L 65 - 67
2015-12-15 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 67 - 61
2015-12-19 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 58 - 65
2015-12-30 vs NJIT Highlanders L 65 - 77
2016-01-02 vs Wagner Seahawks W 73 - 65
2016-01-04 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 84 - 80
2016-01-07 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 56 - 73
2016-01-09 @ Long Island University Sharks W 72 - 65
2016-01-14 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 59 - 71
2016-01-16 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 72 - 82
2016-01-21 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 71 - 65
2016-01-23 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 79 - 64
2016-01-28 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 82 - 86
2016-01-30 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 90 - 78
2016-02-04 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 63 - 57
2016-02-06 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 91 - 82
2016-02-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 68 - 57
2016-02-13 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 61 - 66
2016-02-18 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 58 - 70
2016-02-20 vs Long Island University Sharks L 89 - 94
2016-02-25 @ Wagner Seahawks L 54 - 69
2016-02-27 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 78 - 88
2016-03-02 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 72 - 74

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Greg Brown Greg Brown G 24 34.2 13.2 3.4 3.3 0.9 0.2 2.7 3.4 15.0 -120 24 -5.0 -6.1 43.2 31.6 67.9 -3.19 169.3 46.9
Ronnie Drinnon Ronnie Drinnon F 25 32.2 12.8 10.6 1.5 0.6 0.0 1.6 2.9 20.9 -51 26 -2.0 -2.5 43.8 46.2 57.6 -0.49 182.2 47.9
Ben Millaud-Meunier Ben Millaud-Meunier G 25 26.6 11.2 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 2.8 11.8 11 26 0.4 0.6 42.3 41.3 93.8 3.06 178.8 55.6
Isaiah Blackmon Isaiah Blackmon G 16 21.2 8.6 2.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 1.4 2.9 9.5 14 16 0.9 1.6 47.8 33.3 66.7 0.86 128.0 52.2
Malik Harmon Malik Harmon G 23 30.0 7.4 2.5 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.9 2.0 9.8 -108 23 -4.7 -6.4 31.1 32.1 72.2 -3.98 161.6 41.1
Basil Thompson Basil Thompson F 23 16.8 6.7 4.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.7 1.7 8.3 -31 25 -1.2 -3.1 30.8 0.0 67.9 -1.41 150.0 30.8
Georgios Angelou Georgios Angelou G 24 14.4 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 4.0 -36 24 -1.5 -4.6 33.3 33.3 100.0 -1.33 250.6 50.0
Ifeanyi Umezurike Ifeanyi Umezurike C 10 7.5 3.1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 4.0 -43 9 -4.8 -25.4 60.0 0 20.0 -5.14 127.0 60.0
Jamaal King Jamaal King G 13 9.6 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.5 - - - - 45.5 33.3 50.0 - 117.8 54.5
Patrick Wrencher Patrick Wrencher F 21 7.9 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.6 -16 20 -0.8 -4.9 77.8 0 100.0 -0.5 171.9 77.8
Andre Wolford Andre Wolford G 5 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -1.53 200.0 75.0
Scott Meredith Scott Meredith G 11 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 -25 11 -2.3 -23.0 25.0 25.0 0 -4.54 37.5 37.5
Michael Klebon Michael Klebon G 6 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.16 100.0 0.0
Daniel Wallace Daniel Wallace C 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.73 0 0
Josh Nebo Josh Nebo F 2 19.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.0 1.5 -48 26 -1.8 -3.3 0.0 0 0 -1.74 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG