🐻⬇️🏀

Saint Benedict

Also known as: Saint Benedict
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1031 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1157 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 994 (#475) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +13.8 (#67) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.9 (#322) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.716 (#357) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +13.3 More → 0.860 (#191) NetEff +13.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.868 (#231) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.2 More → 0.870 (#232) AdjNet +16.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.700 (#237) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.569 (#271) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#346) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 6 More → 1011 (#290) RD 140 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Bethel (MN) L 47 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 73 - 68
2026-01-28 @ Concordia-M'head L 53 - 57
2026-01-31 @ St. Scholastica L 63 - 67
2026-02-04 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 54 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Carleton W 65 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lauren Arnold - 6 32.0 13.2 2.7 4.5 1.0 0.3 3.3 12.3 6.0 57 3.0 11.0 37.8 33.3 94.7 0.58 48.0 41.2
Kira Young - 6 34.4 13.0 6.8 0.8 1.3 1.3 2.5 10.8 10.0 78 3.7 16.1 44.6 11.1 79.2 0.54 51.6 45.4
Drew Buslee - 6 28.5 9.8 4.8 1.5 1.8 0.5 2.2 13.0 3.3 146 7.0 36.0 23.1 25.6 54.5 3.21 33.6 30.1
Alyssa Sadlovsky - 6 35.3 9.7 3.2 1.0 1.5 0.3 2.3 10.0 3.3 7 0.3 1.5 31.7 29.7 90.0 -0.04 45.0 40.8
Emma Theisen - 6 28.5 6.2 5.3 1.5 1.5 0.8 1.0 5.7 8.7 72 3.8 18.3 44.1 28.6 55.6 0.99 48.7 47.1
Megan Driste - 6 22.1 4.7 3.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 1.5 3.7 5.3 119 6.3 36.7 45.5 31.2 60.0 3.19 57.9 56.8
Annika Schafer - 6 10.5 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 2.0 2.5 -16 -1.3 -13.8 33.3 33.3 100.0 1.6 47.2 37.5
Emily Crandall - 5 3.8 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 39 2.3 32.6 33.3 0 0 1.09 33.3 33.3
Kate Ebert - 5 2.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 -0.2 -18 -2.6 -74.1 0 0 50.0 -2.42 56.8 0
Lily Ryan - 3 3.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 15 1.7 46.6 0 0 0 1.15 0 0
Ariana Maurer - 2 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -2 -0.4 -4.8 0.0 0 0 -0.55 0.0 0.0
Cora Beeler - 3 3.4 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 21 3.5 66.7 0.0 0 0 -0.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG