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Saint Anselm

Also known as: Saint Anselm
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1203 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1227 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1146 (#34) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +10.0 (#96) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +8.6 (#180) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.581 (#134) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +48.8 More โ†’ 0.994 (#69) NetEff +48.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.662 (#163) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.7 More โ†’ 0.661 (#169) AdjNet +5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 77.5 More โ†’ 0.589 (#175) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 77.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 74.9 More โ†’ 0.671 (#87) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 74.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.754 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.746 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 24 More โ†’ 1205 (#46) RD 95 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Keene St. W 78 - 54
2025-11-14 @ Roberts Wesleyan W 107 - 86
2025-11-15 @ Daemen L 63 - 80
2025-11-19 vs Saint Michael's W 85 - 78
2025-11-22 vs Molloy W 97 - 92
2025-11-25 @ Franklin Pierce W 68 - 55
2025-11-30 @ Jefferson W 91 - 78
2025-12-03 @ Saint Michael's W 88 - 69
2025-12-13 vs Southern N.H. L 80 - 92
2025-12-16 @ Bridgeport W 85 - 72
2025-12-19 vs Post W 85 - 70
2025-12-21 @ Felician L 77 - 91
2026-01-04 @ Adelphi W 86 - 79
2026-01-07 vs Bentley W 78 - 70
2026-01-10 vs Pace W 57 - 41
2026-01-13 @ Southern N.H. W 92 - 81
2026-01-17 @ Franklin Pierce L 85 - 89
2026-01-19 vs Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Assumption W 100 - 86
2026-01-24 vs American Int'l - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Southern Conn. St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Adelphi W 77 - 75
2026-02-04 @ Bentley - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Pace L 66 - 69
2026-02-10 vs Southern N.H. W 87 - 81
2026-02-14 vs Franklin Pierce W 95 - 84
2026-02-18 @ Assumption L 82 - 94
2026-02-21 @ American Int'l W 76 - 63
2026-02-24 vs Saint Michael's W 87 - 82
2026-03-04 vs Assumption W 90 - 77
2026-03-07 vs Saint Michael's W 75 - 69
2026-03-14 vs Assumption W 92 - 81
2026-03-15 @ Felician W 99 - 77
2026-03-17 @ Daemen L 73 - 94

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Josh Morissette - 34 34.4 17.7 2.9 1.7 1.1 0.5 1.4 11.9 10.6 - - - - 45.1 43.6 90.3 - 65.2 60.2
Will Davies - 34 35.6 13.6 3.6 7.1 0.7 0.7 3.2 10.3 12.3 - - - - 51.6 31.7 77.8 - 59.4 56.1
Jack Medalie - 31 32.0 13.2 5.4 2.1 0.9 0.6 2.3 10.5 9.3 - - - - 46.5 33.3 65.9 - 55.6 53.2
Jovan Ristic - 31 34.0 11.7 9.6 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.1 8.1 14.5 - - - - 54.0 36.1 70.8 - 62.8 60.0
Edward Onyia - 33 25.7 11.2 6.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.5 7.6 10.4 - - - - 51.6 31.2 83.5 - 63.3 58.3
Hayden Johns - 12 16.0 8.4 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 7.0 3.2 - - - - 47.6 27.3 65.2 - 53.7 51.2
Paulius Rapolis - 34 18.4 6.5 5.2 0.6 0.3 0.8 1.2 4.7 7.6 - - - - 61.6 100.0 41.0 - 59.7 61.9
Isaiah Griffin - 26 14.3 6.3 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.5 - - - - 45.6 30.6 82.1 - 61.9 52.9
Greg Guidinger - 28 8.8 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.9 2.7 - - - - 43.4 33.3 76.2 - 58.6 53.8
Jakye Rainey - 23 4.9 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 0.1 - - - - 32.1 32.4 50.0 - 43.1 42.9
Josh Caruso - 9 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Myles Kirby - 8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Jason Bradwell Jr. - 8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Connor O'Rourke - 8 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.1 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG