Saint Anselm
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1074 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1203 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1146 (#34) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.3 (#85) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#180) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.581 (#294) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.994 (#74) | NetEff +48.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.662 (#323) | AdjNet +5.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.661 (#329) | AdjNet +5.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.589 (#337) | AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 77.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.671 (#87) | AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.754 (#98) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.746 (#95) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1209 (#43) | RD 95 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Keene St. | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 107 - 86 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Daemen | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Molloy | W | 97 - 92 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Jefferson | W | 91 - 78 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Southern N.H. | L | 80 - 92 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Post | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Felician | L | 77 - 91 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Adelphi | W | 86 - 79 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Bentley | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Pace | W | 57 - 41 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Southern N.H. | W | 92 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Franklin Pierce | L | 85 - 89 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Assumption | W | 100 - 86 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | American Int'l | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Adelphi | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Bentley | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Pace | L | 66 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Morissette | - | 24 | 33.3 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 8.6 | 33 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 41.5 | 38.8 | 88.5 | 2.36 | 60.5 | 55.3 |
| Jack Medalie | - | 24 | 31.7 | 13.6 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 9.6 | -4 | -0.6 | -0.8 | 47.3 | 33.3 | 65.2 | 0.16 | 56.5 | 54.5 |
| Will Davies | - | 24 | 34.6 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 9.8 | 12.6 | -29 | -1.2 | -5.3 | 51.3 | 32.0 | 81.4 | 0.82 | 60.0 | 56.4 |
| Jovan Ristic | - | 24 | 33.2 | 11.5 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 14.5 | -43 | -1.9 | -8.4 | 54.3 | 33.3 | 69.3 | -1.8 | 62.4 | 59.6 |
| Hayden Johns | - | 10 | 19.2 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 62 | 6.2 | 55.8 | 47.6 | 27.3 | 65.2 | 1.17 | 53.7 | 51.2 |
| Edward Onyia | - | 23 | 23.3 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 60 | 2.6 | 21.2 | 51.2 | 35.7 | 79.6 | 1.46 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| Paulius Rapolis | - | 24 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 7.5 | -23 | -1.0 | -7.7 | 63.1 | 100.0 | 40.0 | -0.68 | 60.8 | 63.5 |
| Isaiah Griffin | - | 21 | 14.1 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 102 | 4.9 | 38.7 | 38.0 | 22.2 | 81.4 | 2.08 | 55.3 | 43.0 |
| Jakye Rainey | - | 15 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -2.1 | 32.6 | 30.8 | 0 | 0.14 | 41.9 | 41.9 |
| Greg Guidinger | - | 18 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.3 | -9 | -0.5 | -9.3 | 53.6 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 0.54 | 66.9 | 62.5 |
| Josh Caruso | - | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Myles Kirby | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.14 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Jason Bradwell Jr. | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125 | 6.9 | 53.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor O'Rourke | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG