Saginaw Valley
Also known as: Saginaw Valley
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1015 (#345) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1022 (#345) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1006 (#401) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.7 (#248) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#89) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.980 (#79) | AdjNet +33.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.983 (#75) | AdjNet +33.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.883 (#118) | AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.582 (#242) | AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.691 (#216) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.671 (#232) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1057 (#283) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Seifert | - | 1 | 26.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.07 | 68.5 | 71.4 |
| Donovan Collins | - | 1 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -84 | -7.0 | -157.0 | 40.0 | 44.4 | 0 | -0.14 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Colton Meister | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | -1 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 63.5 | 71.4 |
| Connor Riley | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -4.6 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Braylon Dickerson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | 5 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 30.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 32.2 | 35.0 |
| DJ Morrow | - | 1 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | 50 | 12.5 | 60.2 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.39 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Josh Elliott | - | 1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Landen Moore-Pierce | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 | -19 | -9.5 | -124.9 | 22.2 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.71 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Josh Jordan | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.46 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Sam Leppien | - | 1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Nolan Boffman | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 3.5 | 11.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.07 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Cleveland Baker | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Luciano Guerrazzi | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Gage Krueger | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Michael Rightnowar | - | 1 | 27.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 4.2 | 10.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.64 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Jake Slezinger | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Darius Welch | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 10 | 3.3 | 13.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Paul Gadde | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -2.0 | -68.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.12 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Lucas Shock | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 6.0 | 612.8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.57 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Xzavier Brooks | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Chrismon | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -4.0 | 44 | 11.0 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.91 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Gira | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cayden Lepper | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Levin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Seth Logan | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 34 | 3.1 | 1217.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Love | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jude Moldenhauer-Whitman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Blaine Proefke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Rager | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Rechsteiner | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Antonio Sanders | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Reed Schilling | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Trampush | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bryce Whitlow | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Emcee Williams | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lance Atkinson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gabe Bourdeau | - | 1 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Seth Bradford | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kyler Chovanec | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Florenski | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Garbacz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Glenn Jr. | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -36.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyran Griffin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mason Hallett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Lotterman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Korbin Heitzman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Judsen | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -9 | -9.0 | -73.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.78 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Grant Mossburg | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| De'Quan Powell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Rashad Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Logan St. Martin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyshaun Walker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -13 | -6.5 | -15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG