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Saginaw Valley

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2020
Also known as: Saginaw Valley
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1022 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1006 (#401) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.7 (#248) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#89) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.7 More → 0.980 (#79) AdjNet +33.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +33.5 More → 0.983 (#75) AdjNet +33.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.883 (#118) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.582 (#242) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.691 (#216) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#232) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1057 (#283) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-22 vs Alma W 87 - 55

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aidan Duran - 1 21.2 21.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 20.0 - - - 70.0 80.0 100.0 - 92.8 90.0
Dontez Scott II - 1 16.6 14.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 62.5 40.0 66.7 - 75.1 75.0
Marquese Josephs - 1 24.9 11.0 3.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 75.0 - 62.8 57.1
Kevonne Taylor - 1 22.4 10.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 6.0 19.0 114 5.2 26.8 66.7 0 50.0 1.07 64.4 66.7
Triston Nichols - 1 20.2 9.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 8.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 50.0 - 41.4 40.0
Xavier Thomas - 1 20.4 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 -46 -2.2 -19.0 12.5 16.7 85.7 -0.11 40.6 18.8
Trenton Taratuta - 1 17.6 6.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 3.0 - - - 22.2 0.0 66.7 - 29.1 22.2
Jack Stefanski - 1 16.1 4.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 31.6 20.0
Joshua Thomas - 1 12.8 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 4.0 39 1.9 6.8 20.0 0.0 0 1.15 20.0 20.0
Jake Champagne - 1 7.2 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 12.9 0.0
Bryson Huckeby - 1 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cade Wallaker - 1 4.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG