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Saginaw Valley

Season:
Also known as: Saginaw Valley Cardinals
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 973 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1115 (#90) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 935 (#500) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +12.9 (#64) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.8 (#175) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.557 (#311) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +18.7 More → 0.885 (#202) NetEff +18.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.811 (#227) AdjNet +12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More → 0.818 (#225) AdjNet +12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 72.4 More → 0.707 (#229) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.626 (#122) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.671 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.648 (#184) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 1009 (#222) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.