Saginaw Valley
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 970 (#430) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 968 (#422) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#374) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +15.5 (#315) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.9 (#294) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.491 (#261) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#299) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.514 (#289) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 902 (#468) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-30 | @ | Butler Bulldogs | L | 57 - 68 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Bolden
|
G | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | -47 | -2.0 | -4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0 | 0 |
D. Smith
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -65 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0 | 0 |
M. Barnett
|
- | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | -77 | -2.9 | -5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0 | 0 |
J. Toohey
|
- | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 |
F. McIntosh
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
T. Witz
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
D. Hoskins Jr.
|
- | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -96 | -5.1 | -12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.35 | 0 | 0 |
A. Harrison
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
J. Pomstra
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
T. Garrett
|
- | 1 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
K. Taylor
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 0.3 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0.2 | - | - |
T. Singh
|
- | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Post
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG