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Sacramento State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Sacramento State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Brandon Laird

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

63.0
PPG
69.4
Opp
-4.3
Margin
39.8%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
74.2%
FT%
30.3
RPG
9.3
APG
11.5
TO
76.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 969 (#436) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 972 (#403) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 927 (#580) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.9 (#326) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +1.6 (#328) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.1 More → 0.100 (#273) NetEff -19.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.424 (#526) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.505 (#313) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.482 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 27 More → 912 (#428) RD 136 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs William Jessup Warriors W 89 - 59
2021-11-15 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 58 - 57
2021-11-20 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 56 - 71
2021-11-23 vs UC Davis Aggies W 75 - 63
2021-11-27 @ Arizona Wildcats L 59 - 105
2021-12-02 vs Montana Grizzlies L 58 - 65
2021-12-04 vs Montana State Bobcats L 66 - 68
2021-12-17 vs Menlo Oaks W 67 - 53
2021-12-30 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 51 - 64
2022-01-10 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Preview
2022-01-15 vs Portland State Vikings L 62 - 67
2022-01-20 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 62 - 75
2022-01-22 @ Idaho Vandals L 72 - 73
2022-01-24 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 65 - 70
2022-01-27 vs Idaho State Bengals W 61 - 60
2022-01-29 vs Weber State Wildcats L 59 - 79
2022-02-03 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 61 - 62
2022-02-05 @ Portland State Vikings L 65 - 73
2022-02-10 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 61 - 79
2022-02-12 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 57 - 83
2022-02-17 @ Weber State Wildcats L 50 - 65
2022-02-19 @ Idaho State Bengals W 80 - 75
2022-02-24 vs Idaho Vandals W 83 - 51
2022-02-26 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 81 - 75
2022-03-03 @ Montana State Bobcats L 69 - 75
2022-03-05 @ Montana Grizzlies W 72 - 71
2022-03-09 vs Idaho Vandals W 57 - 54
2022-03-10 @ Montana State Bobcats L 61 - 83

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Fowler B. Fowler G 26 33.5 18.8 5.2 4.2 1.5 0.4 2.3 3.7 24.1 -120 -4.1 -5.0 49.5 33.3 68.8 -0.51 223.7 51.6
J. Overton J. Overton F 2 33.5 17.0 5.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 5.5 20.0 188 5.7 7.8 63.6 0.0 66.7 1.32 124.6 63.6
M. Porter M. Porter F 2 24.5 16.0 6.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 23.0 -157 -5.2 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
T. Taylor T. Taylor - 1 32.0 15.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 26.0 -72 -2.7 -3.6 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
L. Sorensen L. Sorensen G 2 37.5 14.5 5.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 5.0 0.0 20.5 -106 -3.8 -6.9 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
X. Bishop X. Bishop G 2 38.5 14.0 1.5 5.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 18.5 213 6.1 7.5 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
T. Cool T. Cool G 1 29.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 16.0 -134 -4.6 -5.9 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
Z. Chappell Z. Chappell - 27 28.9 11.3 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.0 2.1 13.8 -90 -3.1 -4.3 41.4 30.0 83.3 -0.48 232.1 46.6
W. FitzPatrick W. FitzPatrick G 25 33.5 10.6 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 12.2 -42 -1.5 -1.9 32.0 36.8 100.0 0.61 260.4 46.0
A. Adamu A. Adamu G 2 30.0 10.5 7.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 0.0 19.0 146 4.4 6.9 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
A. Mohamed A. Mohamed F 2 30.5 9.0 10.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 23.0 127 3.6 6.0 0 0 0 0.66 0 0
C. Wilbon C. Wilbon - 24 28.1 9.0 5.0 1.2 1.1 0.4 1.8 2.5 12.5 -53 -2.0 -2.8 44.1 50.0 66.7 0.3 171.5 48.3
N. Gazelas N. Gazelas - 2 15.0 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.5 83 2.4 6.9 0 0 0 0.24 0 0
J. Komagum J. Komagum C 24 28.5 6.5 6.8 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.8 14.6 -9 -0.3 -0.5 63.2 0 66.7 0.8 287.9 63.2
K. Colvin K. Colvin F 1 9.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 -78 -3.2 -6.1 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
D. Marin D. Marin G 1 19.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 83 2.6 3.3 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
D. Highler D. Highler G 13 22.4 4.5 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.2 0.7 7.0 -18 -1.4 -2.5 22.2 50.0 0 0.15 327.8 27.8
M. Moore M. Moore G 2 9.0 4.0 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 67 2.6 10.7 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
E. Taylor III E. Taylor III G 2 14.5 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 6.0 -91 -4.0 -13.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
T. Hardee T. Hardee - 21 11.6 3.7 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 1.3 0.5 5.1 - - - 45.5 66.7 0.0 -0.63 324.1 54.5
Akili Evans Akili Evans G 3 5.7 3.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 5.7 - - - 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0
R. Barros III R. Barros III G 12 14.7 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.2 -56 -1.7 -2.6 40.0 50.0 0 0.41 330.0 50.0
M. Greene M. Greene - 16 9.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.1 -36 -1.9 -8.3 60.0 0.0 0 -0.28 360.0 60.0
H. Clarkin H. Clarkin C 24 10.0 1.4 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.9 -102 -3.8 -15.7 50.0 0 0 -0.92 206.2 50.0
T. Seng T. Seng - 7 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 78.1 25.0
C. Holley C. Holley G 10 5.9 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 -29 -2.6 -14.4 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.23 85.4 58.3
E. McCullough E. McCullough G 21 5.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 -72 -3.4 -22.4 22.2 14.3 0 -1.0 77.8 27.8
X. Ford X. Ford G 7 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
A. Kennedy A. Kennedy F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.9 -3.5 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Kellen Tynes Kellen Tynes G 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28 0.8 4.0 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
Kaden Rasheed Kaden Rasheed G 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
M. Muhammad M. Muhammad C 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 2.0 15.7 0 0 0 0.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG