🐻⬇️🏀

Sioux Falls Skyforce

Also known as: SXF
Program History

2026 Team Stats (43 games)

118.6
PPG
111.9
Opp
+1.9
Margin
48.5%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
46.0
RPG
28.7
APG
16.3
TO
113.9
Pace
115.5
AdjO
119.0
AdjD
#19
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1071 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +40 elo More → 1001 (#15) HCA +40 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.3 More → +5.5 (#5) HCA +0.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.8 More → +4.1 (#8) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.583 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.5 More → 0.563 (#12) NetEff +2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.711 (#5) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.711 (#5) AdjNet +7.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 115.5 | AdjD 119.0 More → 0.420 (#19) AdjO 115.5 | AdjD 119.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 118.8 | AdjD 115.2 More → 0.583 (#8) AdjO 118.8 | AdjD 115.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.531 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.541 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 47 More → 1021 (#12) RD 99 | GP 47

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-20 vs SBL L 106 - 130
2025-12-22 @ CCG W 116 - 103
2025-12-27 @ SDC L 106 - 128
2025-12-28 @ SDC W 101 - 98
2025-12-31 vs RGV W 121 - 114
2026-01-03 @ IWA W 120 - 114
2026-01-04 @ IWA L 110 - 120
2026-01-09 vs RCR W 136 - 128
2026-01-11 vs RCR L 98 - 117
2026-01-13 @ MHU W 119 - 107
2026-01-17 vs SLC W 122 - 110
2026-01-18 vs SLC L 108 - 115
2026-01-21 vs LIN W 119 - 110
2026-01-23 @ SCW L 103 - 110
2026-01-24 @ SCW W 117 - 103
2026-01-28 @ BHM L 97 - 115
2026-01-31 @ TEX L 95 - 105
2026-02-09 @ OKL - Preview
2026-02-10 @ OKL L 118 - 127
2026-02-19 vs RGV W 123 - 106
2026-02-20 vs VAL - Preview
2026-02-22 vs VAL - Preview
2026-03-01 @ OSC - Preview
2026-03-03 @ OSC L 106 - 113
2026-03-05 @ MHU W 119 - 82
2026-03-07 vs AUS - Preview
2026-03-08 vs AUS - Preview
2026-03-11 vs STO W 120 - 118
2026-03-13 vs STO L 121 - 123
2026-03-20 vs MXC W 131 - 89
2026-03-21 vs MXC - Preview
2026-03-26 @ SBL - Preview
2026-03-28 @ SBL - Preview

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahmir Young G 19 38.1 25.9 4.8 9.3 1.7 0.1 3.4 19.9 18.6 - - - 47.0 37.9 80.9 - 60.3 53.6
Josh Christopher G 19 34.0 22.2 7.9 4.5 2.0 0.9 2.4 17.2 17.9 - - - 48.2 33.1 84.1 - 61.1 55.5
Trevor Keels G 20 33.1 19.5 3.1 2.5 1.1 0.1 2.0 16.0 8.3 - - - 45.6 40.0 68.0 - 58.9 56.6
Keshad Johnson F 5 34.4 17.2 9.2 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.8 11.8 19.0 - - - 55.9 51.6 50.0 - 70.8 69.5
Dain Dainja C 24 20.2 12.5 5.5 1.5 0.6 1.0 2.2 8.2 10.6 - - - 63.1 0.0 54.7 - 67.8 63.1
Myron Gardner F 1 21.0 11.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 9.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 0 - 68.8 68.8
Vladislav Goldin C 18 22.7 10.6 6.9 1.3 0.4 1.9 1.3 7.1 12.8 - - - 60.9 28.6 62.1 - 67.8 62.5
Dennis Smith Jr. G 10 24.8 10.0 5.7 7.2 2.4 0.5 2.6 9.5 13.7 - - - 42.1 35.0 57.1 - 51.0 49.5
Gabe Madsen G 24 29.1 9.0 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.3 1.1 7.8 9.2 - - - 43.5 34.1 58.3 - 56.7 55.1
Bez Mbeng G 21 27.1 6.6 5.1 3.9 1.6 0.6 1.2 5.2 11.4 - - - 47.7 29.5 52.0 - 57.9 53.7
Steve Settle III F 22 19.8 6.4 4.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.8 5.7 6.4 - - - 35.7 28.1 77.3 - 51.6 42.9
Cam Carter - 16 12.1 6.2 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.1 1.3 5.4 4.9 - - - 44.2 40.7 88.9 - 55.6 50.6
Alex Fudge - 19 14.6 5.8 3.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 5.0 5.7 - - - 49.5 14.3 57.1 - 54.4 50.5
Micah Parrish - 6 9.7 2.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.7 1.0 - - - 27.3 21.4 100.0 - 37.9 34.1
Riley Grigsby - 5 9.0 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.2 2.8 - - - 54.5 40.0 0 - 63.6 63.6
Blaise Threatt - 1 3.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Josh Cohen - 3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Nathan Missia-Dio - 3 1.7 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG