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Purchase Panthers

Season: 2025 2022 2020 2007
Also known as: Purchase Panthers
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 932 (#609) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 908 (#657) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 996 (#346) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -31.6 (#933) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -29.4 (#627) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.422 (#530) AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 70.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.100 (#625) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.141 (#624) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 907 (#452) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-07 @ Army Black Knights L 40 - 97

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Duhart A. Duhart F 1 14.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 51 1.6 2.7 0 0 0 0.89 0 0
J. Caldwell J. Caldwell G 1 19.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 34 1.1 1.4 0 0 0 0.48 0 0
J. Knochen J. Knochen - 1 29.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Kinker B. Kinker F 1 5.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Terrence Mason Terrence Mason F 1 31.0 6.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Mason J. Mason - 1 22.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Brady J. Brady F 1 33.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.77 0 0
M. Phillips M. Phillips - 1 22.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Hansford-Whyte M. Hansford-Whyte - 1 21.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elijah Holmes Elijah Holmes F 1 21.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Scully J. Scully G 1 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Matthews D. Matthews - 1 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Coleman J. Coleman G 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -139 -4.5 -6.2 0 0 0 0.2 0 0
B. Thiele B. Thiele G 1 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 5 0.6 6.0 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
W. Fulcher W. Fulcher - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Spencer III G. Spencer III - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG