SUNY Oneonta
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1076 (#136) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1014 (#367) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1038 (#217) | HCA +56 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#258) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.0 (#215) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.7 (#208) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.4 (#464) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.478 (#483) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.285 (#463) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.280 (#462) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.365 (#470) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 77.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.648 (#150) | AdjO 83.6 | AdjD 76.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.550 (#293) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.632 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.471 (#427) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.628 (#288) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.482 (#423) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1062 (#272) | RD 244 | GP 1 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#295) | RD 157 | GP 8 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | @ | SUNY New Paltz | W | 65 - 58 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 101 - 80 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | SUNY Canton | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Cortland | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Fredonia | W | 69 - 41 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 67 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Cortez | - | 8 | 27.8 | 13.6 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 10.9 | 48 | 2.2 | 11.0 | 42.5 | 36.4 | 87.9 | 1.2 | 57.7 | 50.0 |
| Cam LaClair | - | 8 | 32.6 | 11.4 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 81 | 3.9 | 16.5 | 29.3 | 17.4 | 63.5 | 1.9 | 39.6 | 31.5 |
| Delano Knox | - | 8 | 31.2 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 119 | 6.0 | 24.4 | 43.4 | 25.0 | 55.0 | 2.1 | 48.1 | 44.7 |
| Nate Cohen | - | 7 | 18.3 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 99 | 4.7 | 42.1 | 48.1 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.55 | 59.5 | 58.7 |
| Sam Booth | - | 8 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 46 | 2.1 | 15.8 | 52.2 | 18.2 | 64.0 | 0.22 | 57.9 | 54.3 |
| Pat Evans | - | 8 | 21.9 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 79 | 3.6 | 22.8 | 38.0 | 36.4 | 70.0 | 0.21 | 51.0 | 46.0 |
| Hobson Herlihy | - | 8 | 19.6 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 49 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 40.6 | 16.7 | 71.4 | 2.06 | 47.0 | 43.8 |
| Deion Mitchell-Murray | - | 7 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 34 | 1.7 | 20.3 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 0.49 | 41.8 | 45.8 |
| Daniel Penubothula | - | 7 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 12 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | -0.49 | 55.7 | 58.3 |
| Jacob Jerome | - | 3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.6 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.47 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Carlos Almanzar | - | 8 | 8.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | -2.66 | 47.5 | 50.0 |
| Kaden Gonzalez | - | 4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.2 | -12.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ibrahim Wally | - | 5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 30 | 2.0 | 136.9 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.86 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Connor Mannix | - | 3 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.3 | 14.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.85 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Josh Smalls | - | 2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.3 | 25.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG