SUNY New Paltz Hawks
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#552) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 907 (#485) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1082 (#113) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.8 (#294) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.6 (#491) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.577 (#420) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.294 (#459) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.286 (#459) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.367 (#468) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.502 (#405) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.475 (#422) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.491 (#411) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1121 (#143) | RD 140 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | vs | SUNY Potsdam | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | W | 88 - 62 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Cortland | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Oswego St. | L | 70 - 90 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 65 - 54 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Fredonia | W | 94 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMar Matthews | - | 7 | 36.9 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 14.9 | 15.3 | -56 | -2.8 | -7.4 | 60.6 | 50.0 | 54.5 | -0.57 | 67.7 | 68.3 |
| Trevor Amalfitano | - | 6 | 28.8 | 15.3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 9.7 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 40.9 | 30.8 | 81.2 | 2.76 | 57.4 | 50.0 |
| Isaiah Rivera | - | 7 | 28.4 | 13.7 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 10.1 | 9.3 | 43 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 54.9 | 43.5 | 61.5 | 1.16 | 62.6 | 62.0 |
| Mo Sylla | - | 6 | 26.1 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 8.5 | 7.3 | -20 | -1.1 | -4.0 | 37.3 | 32.1 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 50.4 | 46.1 |
| Oumar Sy | - | 7 | 19.6 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 5.4 | -40 | -2.2 | -10.2 | 45.2 | 16.7 | 77.8 | -4.36 | 50.0 | 46.4 |
| Andrew Leonard | - | 7 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.9 | 0.7 | -30 | -1.5 | -12.0 | 32.4 | 36.4 | 0 | 2.85 | 44.1 | 44.1 |
| Justin Noelizaire | - | 7 | 19.8 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 20 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 73.3 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.78 | 71.2 | 73.3 |
| Thomas Keane | - | 7 | 29.8 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 9.1 | 29 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 28.0 | 30.8 | 70.0 | 3.8 | 42.5 | 36.0 |
| Peter Nydam | - | 5 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 12 | 0.9 | 11.6 | 71.4 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 3.68 | 82.5 | 85.7 |
| Justin Hannibal | - | 3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 1.2 | 31.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.48 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG