SUNY Geneseo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1029 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#321) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1073 (#128) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.1 (#206) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.6 (#523) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.440 (#506) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.189 (#552) | AdjNet -12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.181 (#553) | AdjNet -13.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.296 (#550) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.480 (#457) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.425 (#461) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.437 (#453) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1120 (#148) | RD 138 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Alfred | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Houghton | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Hartwick | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | St. John Fisher | W | 63 - 52 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Nazareth | L | 69 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Bellamy | - | 1 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 60.0 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.87 | 69.3 | 70.0 |
| Jack Janes | - | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 10.0 | -40 | -1.8 | -11.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.44 | 66.0 | 66.7 |
| Tyson Clark | - | 1 | 35.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | -35 | -2.2 | -8.0 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.65 | 58.7 | 45.5 |
| Josh Garelle | - | 5 | 32.0 | 15.6 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 10.4 | 14.2 | -16 | -0.8 | -3.6 | 51.9 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.56 | 57.5 | 51.9 |
| Trevor Hofer | - | 5 | 27.2 | 15.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 11.2 | 9.0 | -38 | -2.0 | -9.7 | 44.6 | 41.7 | 66.7 | 0.76 | 57.5 | 53.6 |
| Andrew Violante | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 33.3 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.69 | 38.8 | 37.5 |
| Robert Pericolosi | - | 5 | 33.3 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 12.4 | 32 | 1.6 | 6.2 | 41.3 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.07 | 47.8 | 44.6 |
| Emmanouil Manolopoulos | - | 1 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -29 | -3.2 | -6.7 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.71 | 67.8 | 75.0 |
| Alex Hayes | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | -60 | -2.7 | -17.2 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.18 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Colin Gentile | - | 5 | 26.7 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 3.6 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 41.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 2.43 | 48.9 | 48.7 |
| Max Schneider | - | 1 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.54 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Jackson Casey | - | 5 | 28.5 | 6.6 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 104 | 5.5 | 34.9 | 47.8 | 41.2 | 66.7 | 1.27 | 64.4 | 63.0 |
| Justin Yearwood | - | 5 | 19.7 | 6.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 10 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 58.3 | 2.19 | 51.1 | 48.1 |
| Hudson Idzi | - | 1 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -70 | -5.0 | -18.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.2 | 69.4 | 66.7 |
| Maximus Michalski | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.51 | 77.3 | 100.0 |
| Kaden Durham | - | 3 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 22 | 1.8 | 21.0 | 88.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.58 | 84.7 | 88.9 |
| Jaiyden Jones | - | 4 | 13.4 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 43 | 2.5 | 19.5 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 2.66 | 66.6 | 67.9 |
| Evan Griffin | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -28 | -1.8 | -39.8 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.77 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Landon Brunken | - | 5 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | -30 | -1.7 | -13.9 | 29.4 | 20.0 | 60.0 | 2.29 | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| Ethan Meisel | - | 5 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 31 | 1.8 | 22.6 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.8 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Ioannis Galanis | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -12 | -0.8 | -6.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.51 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mekhi Gidney | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.46 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Jonathan McCaffrey | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.51 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Andrew Morrow | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Wallace Rahmaan | - | 5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30 | 1.9 | 43.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Blao | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Hardison | - | 1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 37.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Louis Fay | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurt Redeker | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20 | 1.4 | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Giovanni Schillaci | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | -54 | -2.7 | -20.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG