S'western Adventist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 980 (#235) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 940 (#369) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#430) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.0 (#548) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.005 (#685) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.020 (#717) | AdjNet -33.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.018 (#714) | AdjNet -33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.113 (#695) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 87.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.359 (#495) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.199 (#531) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.217 (#532) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 872 (#399) | RD 292 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 56 - 81 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovon Smith | - | 1 | 34.6 | 14.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 46.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.42 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Jason Victoria | - | 1 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Brandon Russell | - | 1 | 23.8 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 51.0 | 50.0 |
| Byron Fields | - | 1 | 23.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 31.7 | 35.7 |
| Jonathan Russell | - | 1 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Daniel Brooks | - | 1 | 32.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 39 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -1.39 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Alvin Kimanga | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Garcia | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG