๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Rutgers

Also known as: Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Program History

2012 Team Stats (21 games)

60.0
PPG
56.3
Opp
+3.7
Margin
40.8%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
32.8
RPG
13.4
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.9
Adj PPG
48.8
Adj Opp PPG
#27
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1272 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1271 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1059 (#90) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +18.8 (#23) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +16.2 (#36) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.726 (#86) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.6 More โ†’ 0.972 (#22) AdjNet +30.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +31.5 More โ†’ 0.974 (#21) AdjNet +31.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 48.8 More โ†’ 0.825 (#27) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 48.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 52.7 More โ†’ 0.685 (#49) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 52.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.856 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.835 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1193 (#56) RD 120 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 vs California Golden Bears W 73 - 70
2011-11-16 vs Boston College Eagles W 74 - 58
2011-11-19 @ La Salle Explorers W 61 - 48
2011-11-22 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 68 - 40
2011-11-30 vs Temple Owls W 71 - 50
2011-12-02 @ Florida Gators W 63 - 49
2011-12-05 @ Miami Hurricanes L 81 - 92
2011-12-08 vs Fordham Rams W 68 - 48
2011-12-13 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 61 - 67
2011-12-18 vs Iona Gaels W 62 - 29
2011-12-30 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 75 - 54
2012-01-03 vs Syracuse Orange W 55 - 44
2012-01-07 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 58 - 47
2012-01-10 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 63 - 39
2012-01-14 vs Louisville Cardinals W 71 - 68
2012-01-17 @ St. John's Red Storm L 57 - 62
2012-01-21 @ South Florida Bulls W 72 - 66
2012-01-24 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 65 - 64
2012-01-29 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 36 - 54
2012-01-31 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 41 - 71
2012-02-04 @ UConn Huskies L 34 - 66
2012-02-12 vs St. John's Red Storm L 52 - 61
2012-02-15 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 50 - 60
2012-02-18 @ Villanova Wildcats W 61 - 52
2012-02-21 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 62 - 39
2012-02-25 @ Providence Friars W 68 - 47
2012-02-27 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 69 - 58
2012-03-03 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 52 - 43
2012-03-04 @ UConn Huskies L 34 - 49
2012-03-17 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 73 - 86

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Sykes A. Sykes NA 19 0.0 14.8 5.9 1.7 1.4 0.6 2.7 14.1 7.6 101 23 4.4 6.9 43.8 30.7 72.4 1.89 50.4 48.9
K. Rushdan K. Rushdan G 19 0.0 13.8 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.7 2.8 10.2 13.1 174 21 8.3 12.7 49.0 25.0 61.9 6.05 53.8 49.5
M. Oliver M. Oliver NA 21 0.0 11.4 6.9 0.6 0.6 1.6 1.9 7.7 11.5 77 23 3.3 5.6 55.6 100.0 75.3 2.59 61.0 55.9
Erica Wheeler Erica Wheeler NA 15 0.0 10.5 2.8 1.7 1.7 0.1 1.8 9.2 5.8 76 23 3.3 5.7 41.3 38.7 79.2 2.15 52.8 50.0
B. Nash B. Nash G-F 1 0.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 46 20 2.3 8.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 1.75 52.1 25.0
R. Stewart R. Stewart G 8 0.0 4.6 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 2.9 7.0 1.0 20 23 0.9 1.8 23.2 0.0 64.7 -0.63 29.1 23.2
N. Speed N. Speed NA 10 0.0 2.6 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.0 1.8 3.0 3.3 100 23 4.3 10.4 30.0 50.0 83.3 3.16 39.8 35.0
B. Canty B. Canty G 5 0.0 2.4 3.4 2.2 2.2 0.2 2.6 4.2 3.6 10 20 0.5 1.2 28.6 0.0 0.0 -0.28 28.0 28.6
M. O'Donnell M. O'Donnell G 3 0.0 1.3 1.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 45 21 2.1 6.7 11.1 0 40.0 0.2 17.9 11.1
C. Evans C. Evans - 3 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.7 0.7 1.0 2.3 1.3 1.3 6 23 0.3 1.0 25.0 0 0 0.45 25.0 25.0
J. Tucker J. Tucker NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 12 -0.8 -17.3 0 0 0 -2.74 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG