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Rutgers Scarlet

Also known as: Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Program History

2022 Team Stats (8 games)

71.3
PPG
67.4
Opp
+0.9
Margin
50.5%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
31.1
RPG
14.3
APG
11.4
TO
71.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1246 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1325 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1011 (#169) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +32.1 (#76) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +20.5 (#65) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.435 (#70) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.3 More → 0.586 (#94) NetEff +3.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.728 (#34) AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.6 More → 0.729 (#34) AdjNet +8.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.597 (#131) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.833 (#95) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.802 (#96) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 | GP 29 More → 1181 (#84) RD 116 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 73 - 70
2021-11-16 vs NJIT Highlanders W 75 - 61
2021-11-22 vs Lafayette Leopards L 51 - 53
2021-11-27 @ UMass Minutemen L 83 - 85
2021-11-30 vs Clemson Tigers W 74 - 64
2021-12-03 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 51 - 86
2021-12-09 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 70 - 68
2021-12-12 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 63 - 77
2021-12-30 vs Maine Black Bears W 80 - 64
2022-01-01 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 79 - 48
2022-01-04 vs Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 67
2022-01-11 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 49 - 66
2022-01-15 @ Maryland Terrapins W 70 - 59
2022-01-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 48 - 46
2022-01-22 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 65 - 68
2022-01-25 vs Maryland Terrapins L 60 - 68
2022-01-29 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 63 - 61
2022-02-01 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 78 - 79
2022-02-05 vs Michigan State Spartans W 84 - 63
2022-02-09 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 66 - 64
2022-02-12 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 73 - 65
2022-02-16 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 70 - 59
2022-02-20 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 72 - 84
2022-02-23 @ Michigan Wolverines L 62 - 71
2022-02-26 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 66
2022-03-02 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 66 - 63
2022-03-06 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 59 - 58
2022-03-11 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 74 - 84
2022-03-16 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 87 - 89

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Harper Jr. R. Harper Jr. - 17 35.6 16.8 6.1 1.9 1.0 0.8 1.5 7.2 17.8 130 4.6 9.8 46.3 39.7 88.2 1.59 103.3 55.7
Fernandes, Noah Fernandes, Noah - 1 39.0 16.0 0.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 26.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Baker G. Baker G 15 34.7 13.8 2.2 3.5 1.2 0.5 2.0 7.8 11.3 112 4.0 4.8 45.3 36.4 72.0 1.35 80.9 52.1
A. Butler A. Butler G 1 30.0 13.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 -120 -5.2 -7.3 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
K. Murray K. Murray - 1 35.0 13.0 13.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 14.0 - - - 35.7 33.3 50.0 2.69 43.7 42.9
Clifford Omoruyi Clifford Omoruyi C 29 29.3 12.1 8.0 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.2 3.1 18.0 89 2.8 3.9 62.6 0.0 61.0 0.65 161.0 62.6
A. Yetna A. Yetna F 1 38.0 10.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 94 3.0 5.1 0 0 0 0.77 0 0
P. Mulcahy P. Mulcahy - 21 33.6 8.7 4.2 5.7 1.0 0.2 2.6 4.2 13.0 - - - 47.7 34.6 81.2 1.08 96.3 52.8
N. Bohannon N. Bohannon F 1 23.0 8.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 18 0.5 1.0 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Toussaint, Joe Toussaint, Joe - 1 34.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 75.0 - 84.0 83.3
Caleb McConnell Caleb McConnell - 29 30.8 7.6 5.6 2.1 2.3 0.5 1.6 3.0 13.4 - - - 44.3 36.0 69.2 0.18 116.8 49.4
C. Efretuei C. Efretuei C 1 20.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 -30 -1.6 -6.7 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
J. Bohannon J. Bohannon G 1 28.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 -5.0 366 10.2 15.4 18.2 20.0 0 2.25 27.3 27.3
Aundre Hyatt Aundre Hyatt - 29 11.7 3.7 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 5.4 -8 -0.2 -0.8 20.0 18.2 75.0 0.18 159.6 23.3
D. Reiber D. Reiber F 17 7.6 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 3.5 16 0.6 2.8 60.9 80.0 66.7 0.41 109.0 69.6
Mawot Mag Mawot Mag - 19 11.4 2.7 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 3.2 -26 -0.9 -3.0 42.1 14.3 71.4 -0.23 115.5 44.7
J. Jones J. Jones F 8 9.0 2.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6 80 2.4 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 452.1 0.0
M. Faw M. Faw F 1 12.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -32 -1.3 -2.4 0 0 0 0.29 0 0
J. Lee J. Lee G 1 23.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 27 1.4 1.9 0 0 0 1.38 0 0
R. Gonzales-Agee R. Gonzales-Agee F 7 8.1 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 2.1 - - - 50.0 0 66.7 - 112.8 50.0
Oskar Palmquist Oskar Palmquist - 14 6.1 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.4 -46 -3.1 -19.2 33.3 50.0 0 -0.55 366.7 50.0
Jalen Miller Jalen Miller - 15 6.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.8 -29 -1.1 -5.3 0.0 0 0 -0.29 150.0 0.0
L. Stephens L. Stephens G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
L. Nathan L. Nathan F 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Terry A. Terry - 2 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Ihekwoaba S. Ihekwoaba G 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -40 -1.5 -4.1 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
M. Klanjscek M. Klanjscek - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.88 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG