Rutgers Scarlet
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1217 (#70) | Preseason prior 1208 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1018, returning +116, transfers +64, freshmen +10 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1136 (#67) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1133 (#67) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +13.9 (#60) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +13.7 (#61) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.929 (#28) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.775 (#61) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.777 (#60) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.698 (#61) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.695 (#61) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.763 (#58) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.763 (#58) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1168 (#67) | RD 186 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.758 (#61) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | vs | New Haven Chargers | W | 81 - 54 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | W | 101 - 64 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | W | 72 - 51 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Houston Cougars | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Gurdak
|
C | 3 | 21.7 | 14.7 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 15.7 | - | - | - | - | 64.0 | 0 | 85.7 | - | 70.6 | 64.0 |
Jamichael Davis
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 13.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 55.6 | 83.3 | - | 83.8 | 80.6 |
Tariq Francis
|
G | 3 | 22.3 | 11.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 9.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.7 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.5 | 48.1 |
Lino Mark
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 7.7 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 39.1 | 12.5 | 70.0 | - | 51.9 | 41.3 |
Darren Buchanan Jr.
|
G | 3 | 23.3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 7.3 | - | - | - | - | 42.1 | 100.0 | 46.2 | - | 46.5 | 44.7 |
RaSheed Jones
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.3 | - | - | - | - | 77.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 111.3 | 111.1 |
Darin Smith Jr.
|
G | 3 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 47.1 | 22.2 | 0.0 | - | 51.6 | 52.9 |
Will Sydnor
|
F | 3 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 83.3 | - | 69.4 | 58.3 |
Gevonte Ware
|
C | 2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 63.0 | 66.7 |
Mervedi Miteo
|
F | 3 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 39.3 | 36.4 |
Dorin Buca
|
C | 2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Diego Garavaglia
|
G | 3 | 13.7 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | 22.2 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 27.8 | 27.8 |
Imahri Wooten
|
G | 3 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 22.5 | 25.0 |
Max Fradkin
|
G | 3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
Kaden Powers
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Martin Tonejc
|
F | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Rutgers Scarlet players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Rutgers Scarlet game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Harper | 2024-25 | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 31.3 | 17.3 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 11-13 9 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast | 13 GP, 17.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 4.8 APG |
| Ace Bailey | 2024-25 | NBA | Utah Jazz | 13 | 31.3 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 11-13 21 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | 13 GP, 13.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.8 APG |
| Cam Spencer | 2022-23 | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 19.8 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 11-13 14 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast | 12 GP, 9.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.8 APG |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 2018-22 | NBA | Boston Celtics | 6 | 5.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 11-10 0 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 6 GP, 1.3 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.5 APG |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 2016-19 | EuroLeague | Besiktas Istanbul | 11 | 19.0 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 11-13 10 pts, 7 reb, 6 ast | 6 GP, 11.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.0 APG |
| Caleb McConnell | 2018-23 | G League | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-10 8 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 6.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 0.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Eugene Omoruyi | EuroLeague | Besiktas Istanbul | @ LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Dylan Harper | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | vs Golden State Warriors | 25 | 9 | 3 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Cam Spencer | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 24 | 14 | 2 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Ace Bailey | NBA | Utah Jazz | @ Houston Rockets | 35 | 21 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Dylan Harper | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Chicago Bulls | 36 | 18 | 6 | 10 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Cam Spencer | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | vs Denver Nuggets | 20 | 15 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Ace Bailey | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Orlando Magic | 31 | 18 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Ron Harper Jr. | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Caleb McConnell | G League Play-In | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | @ Oklahoma City Blue | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Ace Bailey | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Miami Heat | 35 | 23 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Dylan Harper | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Phoenix Suns | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Cam Spencer | NBA | Memphis Grizzlies | @ Toronto Raptors | 17 | 7 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Ron Harper Jr. | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Ron Harper Jr. | NBA | Boston Celtics | @ Charlotte Hornets | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Eugene Omoruyi | EuroLeague | Besiktas Istanbul | vs Zalgiris Kaunas | 25 | 17 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Caleb McConnell | G League Play-In | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | vs Austin Spurs | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Eugene Omoruyi | EuroLeague | Besiktas Istanbul | @ Virtus Bologna | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
176 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Christian GurdakJamichael DavisTariq FrancisRaSheed JonesLino MarkDarin Smith Jr.Darren Buchanan Jr.Mervedi Miteo
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32-41 | 78.0 | 64 | Christian Gurdak 28% (18 pts) | Lino Mark 19% (12 pts) | Mervedi Miteo 44% (4 misses) | Lino Mark 22% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 27-61 | 44.3 | 54 | Christian Gurdak 22% (12 pts) | Darren Buchanan Jr. 15% (8 pts) | Christian Gurdak 21% (7 misses) | Darren Buchanan Jr. 21% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | Tariq Francis 100% (2 pts) | - | Tariq Francis 67% (4 misses) | Darin Smith Jr. 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Christian Gurdak 50% (1 misses) | Darren Buchanan Jr. 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-10 | 40.0 | 8 | Tariq Francis 50% (4 pts) | Christian Gurdak 25% (2 pts) | Darren Buchanan Jr. 33% (2 misses) | Christian Gurdak 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | RaSheed Jones 67% (6 pts) | Darin Smith Jr. 33% (3 pts) | Darin Smith Jr. 60% (3 misses) | Will Sydnor 40% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | RaSheed Jones 100% (3 pts) | - | Darin Smith Jr. 43% (3 misses) | Jamichael Davis 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Jamichael Davis 33% (6 pts) | RaSheed Jones 33% (6 pts) | Lino Mark 31% (4 misses) | Tariq Francis 31% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-8 | 62.5 | 15 | Darin Smith Jr. 20% (3 pts) | Darren Buchanan Jr. 20% (3 pts) | Jamichael Davis 33% (1 misses) | RaSheed Jones 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-12 | 50.0 | 18 | Tariq Francis 50% (9 pts) | Jamichael Davis 33% (6 pts) | Lino Mark 50% (3 misses) | Diego Garavaglia 17% (1 misses) |