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Rutgers Scarlet

Also known as: Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Rutgers
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

84.7
PPG
56.3
Opp
+28.3
Margin
48.3%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
43.3
RPG
12.3
APG
8.3
TO
66.1
Est. poss./game
77.1
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#61
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1208 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1018, returning +116, transfers +64, freshmen +10 More โ†’ 1217 (#70) Preseason prior 1208 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1018, returning +116, transfers +64, freshmen +10
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 1136 (#67) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 1133 (#67) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +13.9 (#60) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +13.7 (#61) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.929 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More โ†’ 0.775 (#61) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.7 More โ†’ 0.777 (#60) AdjNet +18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.698 (#61) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.695 (#61) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.763 (#58) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.763 (#58) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 186 | GP 3 More โ†’ 1168 (#67) RD 186 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.758 (#61) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-06 vs New Haven Chargers W 81 - 54
2026-11-10 vs NJIT Highlanders W 101 - 64
2026-11-13 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 72 - 51
2026-11-17 @ Houston Cougars - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Christian Gurdak Christian Gurdak C 3 21.7 14.7 7.3 1.3 0.7 1.3 1.3 8.3 15.7 - - - - 64.0 0 85.7 - 70.6 64.0
Jamichael Davis Jamichael Davis G 3 21.3 13.0 3.3 0.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 - - - - 66.7 55.6 83.3 - 83.8 80.6
Tariq Francis Tariq Francis G 3 22.3 11.7 1.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.0 6.0 - - - - 40.7 40.0 100.0 - 56.5 48.1
Lino Mark Lino Mark G 3 23.7 11.0 6.3 2.7 1.0 0.3 1.7 7.7 12.0 - - - - 39.1 12.5 70.0 - 51.9 41.3
Darren Buchanan Jr. Darren Buchanan Jr. G 3 23.3 7.7 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.3 1.3 6.3 7.3 - - - - 42.1 100.0 46.2 - 46.5 44.7
RaSheed Jones RaSheed Jones G 3 19.0 7.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.3 - - - - 77.8 75.0 100.0 - 111.3 111.1
Darin Smith Jr. Darin Smith Jr. G 3 16.7 6.0 3.3 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 5.7 4.3 - - - - 47.1 22.2 0.0 - 51.6 52.9
Will Sydnor Will Sydnor F 3 5.3 4.0 2.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 2.0 4.3 - - - - 50.0 25.0 83.3 - 69.4 58.3
Gevonte Ware Gevonte Ware C 2 9.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 - - - - 66.7 0 50.0 - 63.0 66.7
Mervedi Miteo Mervedi Miteo F 3 12.3 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 3.7 2.3 - - - - 36.4 0 100.0 - 39.3 36.4
Dorin Buca Dorin Buca C 2 3.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.5 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Diego Garavaglia Diego Garavaglia G 3 13.7 1.7 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.3 - - - - 22.2 25.0 0 - 27.8 27.8
Imahri Wooten Imahri Wooten G 3 6.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.3 - - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 22.5 25.0
Max Fradkin Max Fradkin G 3 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 36.2 0.0
Kaden Powers Kaden Powers G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Martin Tonejc Martin Tonejc F 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Rutgers Scarlet players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Rutgers Scarlet game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Dylan Harper 2024-25 NBA San Antonio Spurs 13 31.3 17.3 5.2 4.8 11-13 9 pts, 3 reb, 4 ast 13 GP, 17.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 4.8 APG
Ace Bailey 2024-25 NBA Utah Jazz 13 31.3 13.9 6.4 1.8 11-13 21 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast 13 GP, 13.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 1.8 APG
Cam Spencer 2022-23 NBA Memphis Grizzlies 12 19.8 9.7 3.2 4.8 11-13 14 pts, 2 reb, 5 ast 12 GP, 9.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.8 APG
Ron Harper Jr. 2018-22 NBA Boston Celtics 6 5.9 1.3 0.5 0.5 11-10 0 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast 6 GP, 1.3 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.5 APG
Eugene Omoruyi 2016-19 EuroLeague Besiktas Istanbul 11 19.0 10.3 2.9 2.7 11-13 10 pts, 7 reb, 6 ast 6 GP, 11.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 3.0 APG
Caleb McConnell 2018-23 G League Rio Grande Valley Vipers 0 - - - - 11-10 8 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast Play-In 2 GP, 6.0 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 0.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-13 Eugene Omoruyi EuroLeague Besiktas Istanbul @ LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne 23 10 7 6 Box
2026-11-13 Dylan Harper NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors 25 9 3 4 Box
2026-11-13 Cam Spencer NBA Memphis Grizzlies @ New Orleans Pelicans 24 14 2 5 Box
2026-11-13 Ace Bailey NBA Utah Jazz @ Houston Rockets 35 21 3 1 Box
2026-11-11 Dylan Harper NBA San Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls 36 18 6 10 Box
2026-11-11 Cam Spencer NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets 20 15 3 3 Box
2026-11-11 Ace Bailey NBA Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic 31 18 7 2 Box
2026-11-10 Ron Harper Jr. NBA Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers 4 0 1 0 Box
2026-11-10 Caleb McConnell G League Play-In Rio Grande Valley Vipers @ Oklahoma City Blue 19 8 4 0 Box
2026-11-10 Ace Bailey NBA Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat 35 23 7 2 Box
2026-11-09 Dylan Harper NBA San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns 26 17 5 4 Box
2026-11-09 Cam Spencer NBA Memphis Grizzlies @ Toronto Raptors 17 7 2 4 Box
2026-11-08 Ron Harper Jr. NBA Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks 4 2 0 0 Box
2026-11-06 Ron Harper Jr. NBA Boston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets 10 3 0 2 Box
2026-11-06 Eugene Omoruyi EuroLeague Besiktas Istanbul vs Zalgiris Kaunas 25 17 4 3 Box
2026-11-06 Caleb McConnell G League Play-In Rio Grande Valley Vipers vs Austin Spurs 15 4 3 1 Box
2026-10-30 Eugene Omoruyi EuroLeague Besiktas Istanbul @ Virtus Bologna 15 9 1 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

176 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Gurdak28% Gurdak22% Francis100% Francis50% Jones67% Jones100% Davis33% Smith20% Francis50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Miteo44% Gurdak21% Francis67% Gurdak50% Buchanan33% Smith60% Smith43% Mark31% Davis33% Mark50%
Misses: who misses most here

Christian GurdakJamichael DavisTariq FrancisRaSheed JonesLino MarkDarin Smith Jr.Darren Buchanan Jr.Mervedi Miteo

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 32-41 78.0 64 Christian Gurdak 28% (18 pts) Lino Mark 19% (12 pts) Mervedi Miteo 44% (4 misses) Lino Mark 22% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 27-61 44.3 54 Christian Gurdak 22% (12 pts) Darren Buchanan Jr. 15% (8 pts) Christian Gurdak 21% (7 misses) Darren Buchanan Jr. 21% (7 misses)
Mid-range left 1-7 14.3 2 Tariq Francis 100% (2 pts) - Tariq Francis 67% (4 misses) Darin Smith Jr. 17% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Christian Gurdak 50% (1 misses) Darren Buchanan Jr. 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 4-10 40.0 8 Tariq Francis 50% (4 pts) Christian Gurdak 25% (2 pts) Darren Buchanan Jr. 33% (2 misses) Christian Gurdak 17% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-8 37.5 9 RaSheed Jones 67% (6 pts) Darin Smith Jr. 33% (3 pts) Darin Smith Jr. 60% (3 misses) Will Sydnor 40% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 1-8 12.5 3 RaSheed Jones 100% (3 pts) - Darin Smith Jr. 43% (3 misses) Jamichael Davis 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-19 31.6 18 Jamichael Davis 33% (6 pts) RaSheed Jones 33% (6 pts) Lino Mark 31% (4 misses) Tariq Francis 31% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center 5-8 62.5 15 Darin Smith Jr. 20% (3 pts) Darren Buchanan Jr. 20% (3 pts) Jamichael Davis 33% (1 misses) RaSheed Jones 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 6-12 50.0 18 Tariq Francis 50% (9 pts) Jamichael Davis 33% (6 pts) Lino Mark 50% (3 misses) Diego Garavaglia 17% (1 misses)