Russell Sage
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1120 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1170 (#53) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1105 (#87) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.7 (#211) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.0 (#494) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.621 (#387) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.182 (#557) | AdjNet -13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.174 (#558) | AdjNet -13.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.287 (#560) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 79.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.486 (#440) | AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 82.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.479 (#418) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.495 (#409) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1185 (#72) | RD 113 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Albany Pharmacy | W | 84 - 67 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Elms | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 85 - 56 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | VTSU Castleton | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 46 - 105 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Manhattanville | W | 89 - 68 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 94 - 69 |
| 2026-01-02 | vs | John Jay | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2026-01-06 | @ | Utica | W | 91 - 89 |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Keuka | L | 100 - 105 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Elmira | W | 95 - 79 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | SUNY Poly | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Houghton | W | 97 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Alfred | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Nazareth | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Hartwick | W | 103 - 96 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | SUNY Brockport | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 84 - 87 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | Elmira | W | 80 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Keuka | L | 80 - 93 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Harris | - | 22 | 33.5 | 17.5 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 16.1 | 11.1 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 41.0 | 32.2 | 81.5 | 2.02 | 49.4 | 45.1 |
| Pape Tunkara | - | 20 | 25.1 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 10.5 | 12.2 | 27 | 1.4 | 5.3 | 44.3 | 40.2 | 81.3 | 3.52 | 60.8 | 52.6 |
| Damondre McKnight | - | 1 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Stephon Thomas | - | 1 | 15.8 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 87.4 | 85.7 |
| Khalel Noteman | - | 22 | 26.9 | 12.7 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 11.2 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 53.3 | 0 | 72.0 | 1.37 | 58.6 | 53.3 |
| Kyle Dhu | - | 22 | 25.4 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 7.5 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 41.3 | 32.9 | 65.1 | -1.13 | 51.7 | 47.8 |
| Andrew Mason | - | 1 | 26.8 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 47.7 | 50.0 |
| Angus Ole | - | 1 | 12.7 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Caden Fry | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Jeremy Rosario | - | 22 | 20.5 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 6.5 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 41.0 | 15.2 | 62.7 | -0.9 | 46.7 | 42.6 |
| Deavion Springsteen | - | 12 | 18.8 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 5.8 | -39 | -3.2 | -106.2 | 43.2 | 26.5 | 75.0 | 0.33 | 52.4 | 49.3 |
| Jabryn Anderson | - | 1 | 25.9 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.53 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Ben Aprilante | - | 22 | 20.1 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 8.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 49.5 | 15.8 | 56.2 | -0.22 | 51.9 | 51.0 |
| Adam Myers | - | 18 | 16.2 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 4.9 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 33.8 | 19.4 | 75.9 | -1.23 | 45.0 | 37.8 |
| Aydan Perdue | - | 1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Bromo Dorn | - | 1 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Tim Jordan Jr. | - | 1 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 19 | 1.3 | 102.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.03 | 24.0 | 14.3 |
| Sidney Lebonzo | - | 22 | 12.3 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 | -5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | 40.2 | 7.1 | 43.9 | -1.98 | 42.5 | 40.9 |
| Benard Omooria | - | 1 | 25.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Jackson Welch | - | 1 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.4 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.45 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
| Mikey Steward | - | 17 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | -27 | -1.7 | -53.5 | 46.9 | 23.1 | 45.5 | 0.23 | 51.6 | 51.6 |
| Mike McLaughlin | - | 21 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -22 | -1.1 | -26.0 | 28.0 | 29.4 | 71.4 | -0.75 | 40.5 | 38.0 |
| Kendall Lavender | - | 9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | -2 | -0.2 | -52.2 | 30.8 | 12.5 | 83.3 | -0.05 | 44.8 | 34.6 |
| Tyee Clayton | - | 11 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 8 | 0.8 | 208.7 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 42.9 | -0.05 | 46.2 | 45.5 |
| Tyre Williams | - | 14 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 26 | 1.9 | 35.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.04 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Kaleb Bickel | - | 1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marlo Fox | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG