🐻⬇️🏀

Rosemont

Season:
Also known as: Rosemont
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 710 (#645) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 706 (#633) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 991 (#520) HCA +56 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 785 (#762) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -34.7 (#420) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -30.9 (#759) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -31.4 (#764) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.067 (#755) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.5 More → 0.011 (#771) AdjNet -38.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.9 More → 0.011 (#771) AdjNet -38.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 82.7 More → 0.076 (#763) AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 82.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.9 More → 0.649 (#148) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 47.2 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.105 (#776) AdjO 47.2 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#598) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.045 (#776) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.254 (#629) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.050 (#777) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 297 | GP 1 More → 940 (#432) RD 297 | GP 1
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 19 More → 682 (#614) RD 108 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.