Rose-Hulman
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1034 (#222) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1067 (#212) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#261) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#111) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.7 (#361) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#465) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.255 (#486) | AdjNet -9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.314 (#441) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.395 (#438) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.566 (#268) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.504 (#390) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.519 (#385) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#294) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Wabash | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Scholastica | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Manchester | W | 95 - 72 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Bluffton | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | WashU | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Anderson (IN) | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Earlham | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | DePauw | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2025-12-23 | vs | Olivet | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Berea | W | 96 - 64 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Transylvania | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Hanover | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Franklin | W | 74 - 48 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Manchester | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Berea | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Franklin | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Transylvania | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Hanover | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 70 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Schmitz | - | 22 | 29.8 | 13.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 11.3 | 6.9 | -37 | -1.7 | -10.3 | 45.2 | 40.3 | 78.1 | 1.45 | 57.8 | 56.0 |
| Cole Pride | - | 17 | 27.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 18 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 48.6 | 30.0 | 68.5 | 2.94 | 55.9 | 52.9 |
| Daniel Savovic | - | 21 | 28.9 | 10.5 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 6.2 | -31 | -1.5 | -8.9 | 43.6 | 27.1 | 87.5 | -1.33 | 52.9 | 49.5 |
| Evan Gentile | - | 22 | 23.9 | 10.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 6.8 | -63 | -3.0 | -18.5 | 43.8 | 36.8 | 73.7 | -1.29 | 55.8 | 54.6 |
| Christian Torres | - | 21 | 20.8 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 54.9 | 20.0 | 56.5 | - | 58.2 | 56.8 |
| Nate Smith | - | 21 | 23.6 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 7.3 | -15 | -0.8 | -5.1 | 48.2 | 41.7 | 61.1 | 2.0 | 54.8 | 52.7 |
| Jack Jenniges | - | 11 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 6.8 | -12 | -1.1 | -5.5 | 54.9 | 42.9 | 44.4 | -0.07 | 56.9 | 57.8 |
| Will McElheney | - | 22 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 5.4 | -53 | -2.6 | -42.3 | 55.0 | 10.0 | 62.0 | -0.85 | 59.8 | 55.8 |
| Kobe Stoudemire | - | 20 | 19.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 | -68 | -3.4 | -34.6 | 31.3 | 25.0 | 73.3 | -1.42 | 42.1 | 39.4 |
| Jack Murphy | - | 18 | 12.0 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | -15 | -0.7 | -22.7 | 51.9 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.11 | 50.8 | 51.9 |
| Jackson Kochalka | - | 7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Kaden Rogowski | - | 8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.5 | -28.2 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.22 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| BJ Wesley | - | 8 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 31 | 5.2 | 635.9 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.35 | 24.0 | 14.3 |
| Sam Piontek | - | 7 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 53.2 | 100.0 |
| Ashton Hazelwood | - | 5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.6 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aston Sylvester | - | 3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jack Toles | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Philip Randolph | - | 3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Benny Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 1.3 | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG