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Rogers St.

Season: 2025 2014
Also known as: Rogers St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#353) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1024 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1024 (#269) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.2 (#438) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.971 (#206) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.2 More → 0.867 (#197) AdjNet +16.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.7 More → 0.864 (#199) AdjNet +15.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.719 (#215) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.534 (#334) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.486 (#411) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.483 (#421) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.