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Rocky Mountain

Season: 2024 2022 2006 2005 2004
Also known as: Rocky Mountain Bears
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1064 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 999 (#200) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +14.6 (#329) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -6.3 (#429) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.483 (#306) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#430) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.372 (#421) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 908 (#446) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-14 @ Montana State Bobcats L 52 - 81

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Hart N. Hart - 1 29.0 13.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 23.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
A. Bah A. Bah - 1 31.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Santistevan B. Santistevan - 1 22.0 9.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Stephens M. Stephens - 1 24.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Scott Malikie Scott Malikie F 1 15.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Fassu K. Fassu - 1 19.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Tyson C. Tyson - 1 30.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.58 0 0
J. Owens J. Owens G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 6 0.5 2.9 - - - -0.07 - -
K. Robinson K. Robinson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 56 2.5 6.1 - - - -0.12 - -
M. Gatkuoth M. Gatkuoth - 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1 0.2 1.2 0 0 0 0.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG