Rockhurst
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 826 (#496) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 875 (#454) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 853 (#648) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.7 (#271) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.0 (#542) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.409 (#393) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.525 (#396) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.550 (#390) | AdjNet +1.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.508 (#403) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.255 (#641) | AdjO 54.7 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.234 (#579) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#589) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 790 (#476) | RD 102 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Central Chris. Bible | W | 82 - 20 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Park (MO) | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Northwest Mo. St. | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | W | 82 - 41 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Truman St. | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | McKendree | L | 50 - 96 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | William Jewell | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Cent. Christian (KS) | W | 71 - 45 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Drury | L | 46 - 80 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Maryville (MO) | L | 50 - 72 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Ill. Springfield | L | 36 - 86 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | UIndy | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lewis | L | 44 - 93 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Upper Iowa | L | 60 - 73 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Quincy | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Truman St. | L | 38 - 77 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | William Jewell | W | 71 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macie Conway | - | 16 | 27.7 | 12.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 11.0 | 3.9 | -38 | -2.0 | -11.1 | 36.9 | 19.0 | 63.6 | -3.63 | 45.8 | 39.2 |
| Tori Miller | - | 17 | 27.2 | 12.5 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 10.3 | 7.6 | -39 | -1.9 | -12.8 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | -0.11 | 48.6 | 44.0 |
| Keeley Steele | - | 17 | 24.6 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.1 | 4.8 | -46 | -2.3 | -15.4 | 36.4 | 26.3 | 71.9 | -0.88 | 46.6 | 42.6 |
| Ella Campbell | - | 15 | 22.3 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 1.1 | -13 | -0.5 | -4.4 | 29.9 | 26.8 | 100.0 | -1.8 | 42.6 | 41.0 |
| Kayla Reis | - | 17 | 20.9 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 2.1 | -66 | -3.3 | -28.4 | 31.5 | 31.4 | 76.5 | -2.52 | 46.8 | 44.0 |
| Aubrey Treadwell | - | 15 | 23.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 2.2 | -62 | -3.6 | -20.2 | 24.7 | 15.8 | 62.5 | -2.12 | 33.7 | 28.6 |
| Alivia McCulla | - | 17 | 17.7 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 6.7 | 31 | 1.6 | 16.6 | 42.6 | 0.0 | 27.8 | -2.45 | 41.5 | 42.6 |
| Cristina Luquin | - | 7 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 45.0 | 37.5 | 42.9 | - | 52.0 | 52.5 |
| Lauren Sandstrom | - | 17 | 15.3 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 5.0 | -52 | -2.6 | -20.3 | 33.9 | 14.3 | 83.3 | -2.51 | 37.9 | 35.5 |
| Julia Wright | - | 17 | 11.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 85 | 4.2 | 98.9 | 38.1 | 24.1 | 75.0 | 1.01 | 49.4 | 46.4 |
| Averi Porter | - | 8 | 21.3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 145 | 6.6 | 31.8 | 21.2 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 1.99 | 23.6 | 22.7 |
| Hayley Numrich | - | 9 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 281.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG