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Rockford

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Rockford
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 949 (#469) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 908 (#482) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 932 (#632) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -14.7 (#311) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -16.0 (#624) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.495 (#475) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More → 0.241 (#495) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.233 (#496) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.323 (#512) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.329 (#645) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.204 (#657) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.222 (#653) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 22 More → 842 (#515) RD 94 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Bethany Lutheran L 60 - 79
2025-11-08 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 49 - 96
2025-11-15 vs Monmouth (IL) L 78 - 82
2025-11-20 @ Illinois St. L 48 - 93
2025-12-03 vs St. Norbert L 59 - 73
2025-12-06 vs Concordia Chicago L 54 - 57
2025-12-10 @ Illinois Tech L 63 - 69
2025-12-13 @ Benedictine (IL) W 59 - 56
2025-12-15 @ Eureka W 75 - 63
2025-12-16 @ Maranatha Baptist W 91 - 64
2025-12-30 vs Beloit L 53 - 78
2026-01-03 vs Edgewood W 64 - 54
2026-01-07 @ Concordia Chicago W 65 - 52
2026-01-10 vs Maranatha Baptist W 74 - 54
2026-01-14 vs Dominican (IL) W 71 - 54
2026-01-17 vs Marian (WI) W 74 - 63
2026-01-21 @ St. Norbert L 58 - 77
2026-01-24 @ Wis. Lutheran L 52 - 72
2026-01-28 vs Benedictine (IL) W 83 - 79
2026-01-31 vs Lakeland W 87 - 60
2026-02-04 @ Concordia Wisconsin L 87 - 91
2026-02-07 @ Edgewood L 71 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Bell - 22 31.2 12.1 6.7 2.5 1.3 0.3 1.4 9.7 11.8 3 0.1 0.6 48.8 27.4 73.3 -2.6 57.3 54.9
Adrian Agee - 15 25.6 11.5 4.0 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.7 9.8 5.7 13 0.9 4.3 38.8 29.9 78.0 -3.54 51.2 45.6
Tre Miller - 18 29.5 11.2 3.8 2.9 1.3 0.0 2.7 8.3 8.2 7 0.4 1.4 35.3 27.0 78.2 1.82 51.9 41.0
Kamren Hogan - 22 25.5 10.1 4.8 2.1 1.0 0.1 1.7 7.5 9.0 20 1.0 4.6 48.8 35.3 75.8 3.07 57.5 52.4
Cooper Jackson - 22 23.5 8.7 5.4 1.5 0.5 0.4 1.7 7.0 7.8 58 2.5 16.3 50.0 14.3 54.4 1.67 52.2 50.3
DeVon Oregon - 13 23.4 8.5 3.5 1.4 1.4 0.1 1.8 7.1 5.9 -19 -1.6 -19.7 35.9 32.1 71.1 -1.39 50.6 45.1
Luke Stuckey - 22 32.4 7.9 2.9 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.8 7.5 5.2 20 1.0 4.2 36.1 30.5 85.0 0.07 49.5 47.0
Donovan Grunloh - 18 13.1 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.4 2.6 -34 -1.8 -18.3 34.9 27.6 71.4 -0.56 46.7 44.2
Cooper Buelna - 18 8.2 1.6 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.8 -21 -1.2 -67.6 50.0 0.0 53.8 -1.72 52.3 50.0
Ben Grunloh - 17 8.8 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.1 0.4 -19 -1.2 -23.8 30.6 7.7 30.0 -0.34 32.2 31.9
Landon Nawracaj - 2 0.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Kelso Tennant - 3 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1 0.5 14.7 100.0 100.0 50.0 -0.04 106.4 150.0
Ryan Bella - 10 4.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.1 -2 -0.2 -6.6 50.0 40.0 0 -0.31 60.0 60.0
Kooper Staley - 17 5.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.2 -24 -1.5 -100.9 22.2 22.7 100.0 0.36 34.1 31.5
Joseph Richbourg - 8 1.7 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 -11 -1.6 -179.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Noah Duenser - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Torrin Ross - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG