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Rockford

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Rockford
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 862 (#559) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 873 (#520) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 932 (#632) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -14.1 (#394) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -16.0 (#624) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.495 (#475) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.0 More → 0.241 (#495) AdjNet -10.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.233 (#496) AdjNet -10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.323 (#512) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.329 (#645) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.204 (#657) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.222 (#653) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 22 More → 841 (#520) RD 94 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Bethany Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Gustavus Adolphus - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Monmouth (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Illinois St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Concordia Chicago - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ Illinois Tech - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Eureka - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Maranatha Baptist - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Beloit - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Edgewood - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Concordia Chicago - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Maranatha Baptist - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Dominican (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Marian (WI) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Wis. Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Lakeland - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Concordia Wisconsin - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Edgewood - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaden Bell - 21 31.2 12.4 6.5 2.5 1.4 0.3 1.5 9.6 12.0 3 0.1 0.6 50.0 28.6 73.3 -1.03 58.8 56.4
Adrian Agee - 15 25.6 11.5 4.0 1.1 0.3 0.3 1.7 9.8 5.7 13 0.9 4.3 38.8 29.9 78.0 -0.93 51.2 45.6
Tre Miller - 17 29.6 11.4 3.9 3.0 1.4 0.0 2.8 8.5 8.4 7 0.4 1.4 35.9 27.9 77.4 1.64 51.9 41.7
Kamren Hogan - 21 25.9 10.3 5.0 2.2 1.0 0.1 1.8 7.5 9.4 20 1.0 4.6 49.0 37.5 75.8 0.77 58.1 52.9
Cooper Jackson - 21 23.4 9.0 5.4 1.5 0.5 0.4 1.7 6.8 8.4 58 2.5 16.3 53.1 50.0 54.4 1.56 54.9 53.5
DeVon Oregon - 12 23.1 8.4 3.6 1.3 1.3 0.1 1.8 7.1 5.9 -19 -1.6 -19.7 35.3 28.6 71.1 -1.24 49.6 43.5
Luke Stuckey - 21 32.6 8.0 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.9 7.6 5.4 20 1.0 4.2 36.5 30.1 85.0 -1.68 49.8 47.2
Donovan Grunloh - 18 13.1 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.4 2.6 -34 -1.8 -18.3 34.9 27.6 71.4 -2.73 46.7 44.2
Cooper Buelna - 17 8.1 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.8 -21 -1.2 -67.6 47.4 0.0 53.8 -1.52 50.6 47.4
Landon Nawracaj - 2 0.9 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Ben Grunloh - 16 8.4 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.5 -19 -1.2 -23.8 32.3 0.0 30.0 -1.71 32.5 32.3
Ryan Bella - 9 5.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.2 -2 -0.2 -6.6 50.0 40.0 0 0.28 60.0 60.0
Kelso Tennant - 3 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1 0.5 14.7 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 106.4 150.0
Kooper Staley - 16 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.1 -24 -1.5 -100.9 21.7 22.2 100.0 -3.79 33.5 30.4
Joseph Richbourg - 7 1.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 -11 -1.6 -179.6 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Noah Duenser - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Torrin Ross - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG